How Does Cyber Risk Impact Systemic Stability?

ABSTRACT This study investigates the relationship between cyber risk and systemic risk using firm‐level data from 2006 to 2018. We employ machine learning techniques to develop a predictive model for cyber risk and assess its impact on asset correlation, a proxy for systemic risk. Our analysis reveals that higher cyber risk is significantly associated with increased systemic risk. The results are robust across various checks, including the exclusion of financial firms and the financial crisis period. Furthermore, we find that the cyber‐related component of systemic risk has a substantial impact on future stock returns, indicating a significant risk premium. These findings highlight the importance of integrating cyber risk into traditional risk management and asset pricing models, providing valuable insights for investors and policymakers.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Forecasting
Published
2025-10-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/for.70032
Primary Topic
Risk Management in Financial Firms
Type
article
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article

How Does Cyber Risk Impact Systemic Stability?

Kung‐Cheng Ho, Zikui Pan, Andreas Karathanasopoulos, Shih‐Cheng Lee
Journal of Forecasting
Risk Management in Financial Firms
article

How Does Cyber Risk Impact Systemic Stability?

Kung‐Cheng Ho, Zikui Pan, Andreas Karathanasopoulos, Shih‐Cheng Lee
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT This study investigates the relationship between cyber risk and systemic risk using firm‐level data from 2006 to 2018. We employ machine learning techniques to develop a predictive model for cyber risk and assess its impact on asset correlation, a proxy for systemic risk. Our analysis reveals that higher cyber risk is significantly associated with increased systemic risk. The results are robust across various checks, including the exclusion of financial firms and the financial crisis period. Furthermore, we find that the cyber‐related component of systemic risk has a substantial impact on future stock returns, indicating a significant risk premium. These findings highlight the importance of integrating cyber risk into traditional risk management and asset pricing models, providing valuable insights for investors and policymakers.

Journal of ForecastingVol. 45(2)
University of Dubai (AE), Zhongnan University of Economics and Law (CN), Guangdong University Of Finances and Economics (CN), University of Florida (US), Guangdong University of Finance (CN), Yuan Ze University (TW)
Openalex Percentile: Top 56%
Risk Management in Financial Firms
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