Peat subsidence and dynamics in Midden-Delfland, the Netherlands, from time series InSAR analysis and the SPAMS model

Peat subsidence occurs when parts of the peat soil interact with air, usually due to water table lowering, then triggers peat consolidation, shrinkage, and oxidation, releasing substantial CO 2 emissions. Managing and mitigating these impacts requires a comprehensive understanding of the mechanisms and the spatio-temporal variations of the subsidence. Advanced space geodetic techniques, particularly InSAR, enable surface displacement monitoring. While time series InSAR analysis effectively estimates displacement, its precision, accuracy, and representativity are compromised by temporal decorrelation, noise, and dynamic soil movement, especially over pastures on peat soils. Moreover, loss-of-lock events caused by an irrecoverable loss of coherence disrupt the time series and introduce arbitrary unintelligible phase offsets. Strategies such as multilooking using contextual information have improved the reliability of the InSAR displacement estimates. However, more experience in the efficacy of InSAR-based surface dynamics assessments is required. This study estimates and analyzes surface motion in a regional peat area in Midden-Delfland, The Netherlands, using Sentinel-1 data and the SPAMS model. SPAMS incorporates precipitation and evapotranspiration information to estimate surface motion parameters, distinguishing between reversible and irreversible subsidence. The results reveal an average subsidence rate of − 5 . 4 ± 0 . 7 mm/year within the study area. Irreversible subsidence is strongly correlated with climatic conditions, with the most significant subsidence observed during a prolonged dry period in the summers of 2018 and 2022. Mitigating peatland subsidence includes preserving soil water content, especially during dry periods. Integrating InSAR and SPAMS provides a valuable tool for monitoring peat surface elevation, water management, and reducing peatland degradation. • Peat subsidence dynamics vary with soil composition, hydrology, and elevation. • InSAR-derived SPAMS parameters provide meaningful displacement models. • SPAMS parameters allow for evaluating predictive climate scenarios. • Irreversible subsidence intensifies during drought extremes. • Subsidence in the Midden-Delfland region is on average − 5 . 4 ± 0 . 7 mm/year.