Harnessing Deep Learning to Improve Near‐Inertial Internal Wave Forecasts

Abstract Wind‐driven near‐inertial internal waves (NIWs) play a key role in ocean mixing, yet their intermittent nature, complex generation, and propagation processes pose significant challenges in achieving accurate predictions. In this study, we utilize a deep learning (DL) model to forecast NIW velocities. Trained on 193 days of hourly NIW velocity and wind data, NIWs over the subsequent 60 days are predicted. Compared to the classic slab model, the DL model achieves a 25–59% error reduction within a 48 hr forecast window. Notably, the DL model maintains a correlation exceeding 0.80 within the first 24 hr and can effectively extend NIW predictions to multiple depths below the mixed layer. Furthermore, the pretrained model exhibits strong generalization capability, achieving a correlation coefficient of 0.82 at an independent station and during a different observation period. These findings underscore the potential of DL‐based approaches to advance NIW forecasting beyond conventional methods.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Geophysical Research Machine Learning and Computation
Published
2025-10-20
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2025jh000950
Primary Topic
Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Harnessing Deep Learning to Improve Near‐Inertial Internal Wave Forecasts

Yun Li, Xiaodi Kuang, Lianglong Da, Kun Liu et al.
Journal of Geophysical Research Machine Learning and Computation
Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
article

Harnessing Deep Learning to Improve Near‐Inertial Internal Wave Forecasts

Yun Li, Xiaodi Kuang, Lianglong Da, Kun Liu, Jingyi Liu, Hui Wang, Wuhong Guo, Bo Cui
article en

Abstract

Abstract Wind‐driven near‐inertial internal waves (NIWs) play a key role in ocean mixing, yet their intermittent nature, complex generation, and propagation processes pose significant challenges in achieving accurate predictions. In this study, we utilize a deep learning (DL) model to forecast NIW velocities. Trained on 193 days of hourly NIW velocity and wind data, NIWs over the subsequent 60 days are predicted. Compared to the classic slab model, the DL model achieves a 25–59% error reduction within a 48 hr forecast window. Notably, the DL model maintains a correlation exceeding 0.80 within the first 24 hr and can effectively extend NIW predictions to multiple depths below the mixed layer. Furthermore, the pretrained model exhibits strong generalization capability, achieving a correlation coefficient of 0.82 at an independent station and during a different observation period. These findings underscore the potential of DL‐based approaches to advance NIW forecasting beyond conventional methods.

Journal of Geophysical Research Machine Learning and ComputationVol. 2(4)
Shandong University (CN), Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Guangzhou) (CN), National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center (CN), Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai) (CN), Laoshan Laboratory
Shandong University, National Natural Science Foundation of China
Openalex Percentile: Top 70%
Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
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Harnessing Deep Learning to Improve Near‐Inertial Internal Wave Forecasts — Yun Li, Xiaodi Kuang, et al. · Journal of Geophysical Research Machine Learning and Computation (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS