Why the world needs a wildfire risk prediction system based on plant functional traits and moisture—before fires ignite

This perspective proposes a new wildfire risk prediction system by integrating plant functional traits with microwave-derived vegetation optical depth to detect critical moisture thresholds before ignition. By shifting from reactive, thermal-based detection to proactive, ecology-driven forecasting, this approach could enhance preparedness, guide targeted mitigation, and improve resource allocation globally and would help reduce wildfire impacts on biodiversity, infrastructure, and communities in an era of intensifying climate-driven fire risk.

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Publication Details

Journal
npj natural hazards.
Published
2025-10-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s44304-025-00149-5
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Fire effects on ecosystems
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.11
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article

Why the world needs a wildfire risk prediction system based on plant functional traits and moisture—before fires ignite

Andrew R. Marshall, Shawkat I. Sohel
1 citations
npj natural hazards.
Fire effects on ecosystems
1.11
article

Why the world needs a wildfire risk prediction system based on plant functional traits and moisture—before fires ignite

Andrew R. Marshall, Shawkat I. Sohel
article en
1 citations

Abstract

This perspective proposes a new wildfire risk prediction system by integrating plant functional traits with microwave-derived vegetation optical depth to detect critical moisture thresholds before ignition. By shifting from reactive, thermal-based detection to proactive, ecology-driven forecasting, this approach could enhance preparedness, guide targeted mitigation, and improve resource allocation globally and would help reduce wildfire impacts on biodiversity, infrastructure, and communities in an era of intensifying climate-driven fire risk.

npj natural hazards.Vol. 2(1)
University of the Sunshine Coast (AU)
Openalex Percentile: Top 19%
Fire effects on ecosystems
1.11
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