Analysis of the Unprecedented Reduction in Antarctic Sea Ice During the Years 2022–2023

ABSTRACT This study analyses the unprecedented decline in Antarctic sea ice extent during 2022 and 2023. The results reveal that the minimum records in Antarctic sea ice, observed in both summer (February) and winter (September), display inhomogeneous spatial patterns and may be linked to intricate air‐sea interactions, including internal climate variability and changes in wind patterns. Events such as the positive southern annular mode, intensification of the Amundsen Sea Low and La Niña played a critical role during September 2022, driving atmospheric and oceanic conditions that enhanced reduction and limited ice formation, particularly in the Weddell and Amundsen Seas. Conversely, in September 2023, characterised by a negative southern annular mode, a weakened Amundsen Sea Low and El Niño conditions, the Ross Sea exhibits pronounced negative sea ice concentration anomalies. The results suggest that internal climate variability can contribute to changes in Antarctic sea ice, primarily through wind pattern variations associated with changes in the Amundsen Sea Low. However, the recent decline of the Antarctic sea ice remains a subject of debate and lacks conclusive answers.

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Publication Details

Journal
International Journal of Climatology
Published
2025-10-19
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.70147
Primary Topic
Arctic and Antarctic ice dynamics
Type
article
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article

Analysis of the Unprecedented Reduction in Antarctic Sea Ice During the Years 2022–2023

Fernanda Casagrande, Helena Barbieri de Azevedo, Sofia Allende
International Journal of Climatology
Arctic and Antarctic ice dynamics
article

Analysis of the Unprecedented Reduction in Antarctic Sea Ice During the Years 2022–2023

Fernanda Casagrande, Helena Barbieri de Azevedo, Sofia Allende
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT This study analyses the unprecedented decline in Antarctic sea ice extent during 2022 and 2023. The results reveal that the minimum records in Antarctic sea ice, observed in both summer (February) and winter (September), display inhomogeneous spatial patterns and may be linked to intricate air‐sea interactions, including internal climate variability and changes in wind patterns. Events such as the positive southern annular mode, intensification of the Amundsen Sea Low and La Niña played a critical role during September 2022, driving atmospheric and oceanic conditions that enhanced reduction and limited ice formation, particularly in the Weddell and Amundsen Seas. Conversely, in September 2023, characterised by a negative southern annular mode, a weakened Amundsen Sea Low and El Niño conditions, the Ross Sea exhibits pronounced negative sea ice concentration anomalies. The results suggest that internal climate variability can contribute to changes in Antarctic sea ice, primarily through wind pattern variations associated with changes in the Amundsen Sea Low. However, the recent decline of the Antarctic sea ice remains a subject of debate and lacks conclusive answers.

International Journal of ClimatologyVol. 45(16)
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (FR), Institut de Recherche sur les Phénomènes Hors Équilibre (FR), Centrale Méditerranée (FR), Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (BR)
Openalex Percentile: Top 65%
Arctic and Antarctic ice dynamics
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Analysis of the Unprecedented Reduction in Antarctic Sea Ice During the Years 2022–2023 — Fernanda Casagrande, Helena Barbieri de Azevedo, et al. · International Journal of Climatology (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS