Early time-series classification with SPRT and normalizing flow

This paper proposes a novel approach for early time-series classification, addressing the trade-off between prediction accuracy and earliness, which is critical in real-time applications. The Sequential Probability Ratio Test (SPRT) provides an optimal solution but relies on prior knowledge of the data’s probability distribution, which is an assumption often impractical in real-world scenarios. Existing studies commonly assume a normal distribution, which limits classification performance in complex data. To overcome this limitation, we integrate normalizing flow into the SPRT framework, enabling the estimation of conditional probability distributions through a series of invertible transformations. This approach allows for precise probability estimation, improving the accuracy of early classification. Experimental results on a preprocessed dataset demonstrate that the proposed model significantly enhances classification performance, offering a promising direction for advancing early time-series classification.

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Publication Details

Journal
ICT Express
Published
2025-10-18
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.icte.2025.09.015
Primary Topic
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Early time-series classification with SPRT and normalizing flow

Kae Won Choi, Jun Hyeon Jo
ICT Express
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
article

Early time-series classification with SPRT and normalizing flow

Kae Won Choi, Jun Hyeon Jo
article en

Abstract

This paper proposes a novel approach for early time-series classification, addressing the trade-off between prediction accuracy and earliness, which is critical in real-time applications. The Sequential Probability Ratio Test (SPRT) provides an optimal solution but relies on prior knowledge of the data’s probability distribution, which is an assumption often impractical in real-world scenarios. Existing studies commonly assume a normal distribution, which limits classification performance in complex data. To overcome this limitation, we integrate normalizing flow into the SPRT framework, enabling the estimation of conditional probability distributions through a series of invertible transformations. This approach allows for precise probability estimation, improving the accuracy of early classification. Experimental results on a preprocessed dataset demonstrate that the proposed model significantly enhances classification performance, offering a promising direction for advancing early time-series classification.

ICT ExpressVol. 11(6)
Sungkyunkwan University (KR)
Openalex Percentile: Top 63%
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
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Early time-series classification with SPRT and normalizing flow — Kae Won Choi, Jun Hyeon Jo · ICT Express (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS