FinSentLLM: Multi-LLM and Structured Semantic Signals for Enhanced Financial Sentiment Forecasting

Financial sentiment analysis (FSA) has attracted significant attention, and recent studies increasingly explore large language models (LLMs) for this field. Yet most work evaluates only classification metrics, leaving unclear whether sentiment signals align with market behavior. We propose FinSentLLM, a lightweight multi-LLM framework that integrates an expert panel of sentiment forecasting LLMs, and structured semantic financial signals via a compact meta-classifier. This design captures expert complementarity, semantic reasoning signal, and agreement/divergence patterns without costly retraining, yielding consistent 3–6% gains over strong baselines in accuracy and F1-score on the Financial PhraseBank dataset. In addition, we also provide econometric evidence that financial sentiment and stock markets exhibit statistically significant long-run comovement, applying Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH (DCC–GARCH) and the Johansen cointegration test to daily sentiment scores computed from the FNSPID dataset and major stock indices. Together, these results demonstrate that FinSentLLM delivers superior forecasting accuracy for financial sentiment, while providing econometric evidence of statistically significant correlation and long-run comovement between sentiment signals and equity markets.

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Publication Details

Published
2026-04-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/icassp55912.2026.11461632
Primary Topic
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
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article
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article

FinSentLLM: Multi-LLM and Structured Semantic Signals for Enhanced Financial Sentiment Forecasting

Yanlong Wang, Yangfan He, Xiaojing Du, Simon Fong et al.
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
article

FinSentLLM: Multi-LLM and Structured Semantic Signals for Enhanced Financial Sentiment Forecasting

Yanlong Wang, Yangfan He, Xiaojing Du, Simon Fong, Zijian Zhang, Xinze Shen, Haochen You, Rongguo Fu, J.M. Shi
article en

Abstract

Financial sentiment analysis (FSA) has attracted significant attention, and recent studies increasingly explore large language models (LLMs) for this field. Yet most work evaluates only classification metrics, leaving unclear whether sentiment signals align with market behavior. We propose FinSentLLM, a lightweight multi-LLM framework that integrates an expert panel of sentiment forecasting LLMs, and structured semantic financial signals via a compact meta-classifier. This design captures expert complementarity, semantic reasoning signal, and agreement/divergence patterns without costly retraining, yielding consistent 3–6% gains over strong baselines in accuracy and F1-score on the Financial PhraseBank dataset. In addition, we also provide econometric evidence that financial sentiment and stock markets exhibit statistically significant long-run comovement, applying Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH (DCC–GARCH) and the Johansen cointegration test to daily sentiment scores computed from the FNSPID dataset and major stock indices. Together, these results demonstrate that FinSentLLM delivers superior forecasting accuracy for financial sentiment, while providing econometric evidence of statistically significant correlation and long-run comovement between sentiment signals and equity markets.

University of South Australia (AU), University of Macau (MO), University of Minnesota System (US), California University of Pennsylvania (US), New York University (US), University of Coimbra (PT), Columbia University (US), University of Birmingham (GB), Tsinghua University (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 100%
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
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