Safety impact of advanced driver assistance systems in Europe in 2030

The combined impact of AEB, LKA, ISA, and reverse cameras was estimated to amount to a 6% reduction in injury (including fatal) car accidents in the EU-27 in 2030, compared to a scenario where the ADAS-equipped vehicle stock share would remain at 2019 levels. AEB was estimated to account for a 5% reduction in injury car accidents in the EU-27 in 2030. Advisory ISA was estimated to bring a 1% injury accident reduction. Both LKA and reverse cameras were estimated to reduce injury car accidents by 0.2%. Conclusion and practical application: The results suggest that mandatory ADAS contribute to meeting the EU road injury and fatality reduction targets, albeit at a relatively low proportion. These findings offer valuable insight for policymakers, as they indicate that ADAS deployment should be combined with other measures. Further research should determine which measures would be most effective in achieving the EU safety objectives.