Network Modeling and Risk Assessment of Multi-Stakeholder-Coupled Unsafe Events in the Airspace System

Unsafe events in civil aviation increasingly arise from multi-stakeholder interactions, motivating system-level methods to quantify event risk and coupling. This study analyzes 1551 airspace unsafe-operation reports and models each report as a node with four attributes; edges capture co-occurrence based on cosine similarity, and risk is scored via an entropy-weight TOPSIS (Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to an Ideal Solution) scheme. Risk scores range 0–0.858, with 7% of nodes above 0.8 forming a high-risk tail; entropy weights emphasize recovery time and hazard level. Community detection yields three modules aligned with Controller, Resource, and User stakeholders; key nodes occur predominantly in Controller and Resource groups, with Controller nodes showing the highest betweenness. Coupling analysis using an N–K perspective and edge-based inter-stakeholder strength further highlights controller-centric links. The proposed framework objectively ranks node risk, reveals cross-stakeholder coupling patterns, and isolates structurally influential events, providing evidence to prioritize monitoring and mitigation in airspace safety management.

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Publication Details

Journal
Aerospace
Published
2025-10-13
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/aerospace12100923
Primary Topic
Risk and Safety Analysis
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Network Modeling and Risk Assessment of Multi-Stakeholder-Coupled Unsafe Events in the Airspace System

Honghai Zhang, Yike Li, Zongbei Shi, Yiming Dai
Aerospace
Risk and Safety Analysis
article

Network Modeling and Risk Assessment of Multi-Stakeholder-Coupled Unsafe Events in the Airspace System

Honghai Zhang, Yike Li, Zongbei Shi, Yiming Dai
article en

Abstract

Unsafe events in civil aviation increasingly arise from multi-stakeholder interactions, motivating system-level methods to quantify event risk and coupling. This study analyzes 1551 airspace unsafe-operation reports and models each report as a node with four attributes; edges capture co-occurrence based on cosine similarity, and risk is scored via an entropy-weight TOPSIS (Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to an Ideal Solution) scheme. Risk scores range 0–0.858, with 7% of nodes above 0.8 forming a high-risk tail; entropy weights emphasize recovery time and hazard level. Community detection yields three modules aligned with Controller, Resource, and User stakeholders; key nodes occur predominantly in Controller and Resource groups, with Controller nodes showing the highest betweenness. Coupling analysis using an N–K perspective and edge-based inter-stakeholder strength further highlights controller-centric links. The proposed framework objectively ranks node risk, reveals cross-stakeholder coupling patterns, and isolates structurally influential events, providing evidence to prioritize monitoring and mitigation in airspace safety management.

AerospaceVol. 12(10)
Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, National Office for Philosophy and Social Sciences
Openalex Percentile: Top 71%
Risk and Safety Analysis
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