Does R&D Efficiency Hold the Key to Regional Resilience Under Sustainable Urban Development?

Amid intensifying geopolitical tensions and global uncertainties, regional economies face mounting pressures that threaten both stability and sustainability. Against this backdrop, building resilient regional systems has become a central issue in sustainable urban development. As a key driver of resilience, innovation has been central to China’s development agenda. Continuous and large-scale R&D investment has redirected focus from input expansion to efficiency improvement, positioning R&D efficiency at the heart of resilience-building. Under external shocks and uncertainty, can improvements in R&D efficiency enhance regional economic resilience? If so, which additional factors embedded in sustainable urban development planning can further amplify this effect? To address these questions, this study employs provincial panel data from 2000 to 2021 and integrates the SBM-DEA approach with an entropy-weighted resilience index for regression analysis. The results indicate that (1) R&D efficiency exerts a positive but limited impact on resilience, with an average increase of only 0.188 units, indicating that efficiency alone cannot generate resilient economies without institutional coordination; (2) human capital agglomeration and financial density strengthen this relationship, highlighting the need to integrate talent and financial strategies; (3) the positive effect is observed in eastern provinces but remains insignificant in central and western regions, revealing pronounced structural disparities that risk widening the resilience gap across regions rather than fostering balanced development; and (4) targeted government intervention effectively converts innovation efficiency into resilience gains, fostering coordinated and sustainable development. This study empirically demonstrates that improving R&D efficiency significantly enhances regional resilience in China and based on this evidence introduces the ICT Synergy Framework as a novel analytical lens for understanding how innovation, capital, and talent jointly drive resilience and sustainable development. The findings further suggest that targeted government intervention in R&D resource allocation can reinforce resilience, offering broader lessons for other developing economies. By integrating innovation outcomes with spatial and institutional planning, the study provides actionable insights for advancing sustainable urban development and coordinated regional growth.