Air Pollution Monitoring and Modeling: A Comparative Study of PM, NO2, and SO2 with Meteorological Correlations

Monitoring air pollution remains a significant challenge for both environmental policy and public health, particularly in parts of Eastern Europe where industrial structures are undergoing transition. In this paper, we examine long-term air quality trends in Poland between 1990 and 2023, drawing on multiple sources: satellite observations (from 2019 to 2025), ground-based stations, and official national emission inventories. The analysis focused on sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and particulate matter (PM10, PM2.5). Data were obtained from the Sentinel-5P TROPOMI sensor, processed through Google Earth Engine, and monitored by the Chief Inspectorate of Environmental Protection (GIOŚ, Warsaw, Poland) and the National Inventory Report (NIR, Warsaw, Poland), compiled by KOBiZE (The National Centre for Emissions Management, Warsaw, Poland). The results show a decline in emissions. SO2, for instance, dropped from about 2700 kilotons in 1990 to under 400 kilotons in 2023. Ground-based measurements matched well with inventory data (correlations around 0.75–0.85), but the agreement was noticeably weaker when satellite estimates were compared with surface monitoring. In addition to analyzing emission trends, this study examined the relationship between pollution levels and meteorological conditions across major Polish cities from 2019 to mid-2024. Pearson’s correlation analysis revealed strong negative correlations between temperature and pollutant concentrations, especially for SO2, reflecting the seasonal nature of pollution peaks during colder months. Wind speed exhibited ambiguous relationships, with daily data indicating a dilution effect (negative correlations), whereas monthly averages revealed positive associations, likely due to seasonal confounding. Higher humidity was consistently linked to higher pollution levels, and precipitation showed weak negative correlations, likely influenced by seasonal weather patterns rather than direct atmospheric processes. These findings suggest that combining different monitoring methods, despite their quirks and mismatches, provides a fuller picture of atmospheric pollution. They also point to a practical challenge. Further improvements will depend less on sweeping industrial reform and more on shifting everyday practices, like how homes are heated and how people move around cities.