ESTIMATION OF INTEGRATED VOLATILITY FUNCTIONALS WITH KERNEL SPOT VOLATILITY ESTIMATORS

For a multidimensional Itô semimartingale, we consider the problem of estimating integrated volatility functionals. Jacod and Rosenbaum (2013, The Annals of Statistics 41(3), 1462–1484) studied a plug-in type of estimator based on a Riemann sum approximation of the integrated functional and a spot volatility estimator with a forward uniform kernel. Motivated by recent results that show that spot volatility estimators with general two-sided kernels of unbounded support are more accurate, in this article, an estimator using a general kernel spot volatility estimator as the plug-in is considered. A biased central limit theorem for estimating the integrated functional is established with an optimal convergence rate. Central limit theorems for properly de-biased estimators are also obtained both at the optimal convergence regime for the bandwidth and when applying undersmoothing. Our results show that one can significantly reduce the estimator’s bias by adopting a general kernel instead of the standard uniform kernel. Our proposed bias-corrected estimators are found to maintain remarkable robustness against bandwidth selection in a variety of sampling frequencies and functions.

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Publication Details

Journal
Econometric Theory
Published
2025-10-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1017/s0266466625100170
Primary Topic
Stochastic processes and financial applications
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

ESTIMATION OF INTEGRATED VOLATILITY FUNCTIONALS WITH KERNEL SPOT VOLATILITY ESTIMATORS

José E. Figueroa‐López, Bei Wu, Jincheng Pang
Econometric Theory
Stochastic processes and financial applications
article

ESTIMATION OF INTEGRATED VOLATILITY FUNCTIONALS WITH KERNEL SPOT VOLATILITY ESTIMATORS

José E. Figueroa‐López, Bei Wu, Jincheng Pang
article en

Abstract

For a multidimensional Itô semimartingale, we consider the problem of estimating integrated volatility functionals. Jacod and Rosenbaum (2013, The Annals of Statistics 41(3), 1462–1484) studied a plug-in type of estimator based on a Riemann sum approximation of the integrated functional and a spot volatility estimator with a forward uniform kernel. Motivated by recent results that show that spot volatility estimators with general two-sided kernels of unbounded support are more accurate, in this article, an estimator using a general kernel spot volatility estimator as the plug-in is considered. A biased central limit theorem for estimating the integrated functional is established with an optimal convergence rate. Central limit theorems for properly de-biased estimators are also obtained both at the optimal convergence regime for the bandwidth and when applying undersmoothing. Our results show that one can significantly reduce the estimator’s bias by adopting a general kernel instead of the standard uniform kernel. Our proposed bias-corrected estimators are found to maintain remarkable robustness against bandwidth selection in a variety of sampling frequencies and functions.

Econometric Theory
Washington University in St. Louis (US), Start International (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 62%
Stochastic processes and financial applications
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ESTIMATION OF INTEGRATED VOLATILITY FUNCTIONALS WITH KERNEL SPOT VOLATILITY ESTIMATORS — José E. Figueroa‐López, Bei Wu, et al. · Econometric Theory (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS