Navigating the Deep Eutectic Solvent Landscape: Experimental and Machine Learning Solubility Explorations of Syringic, p-Coumaric, and Caffeic Acids

Efficiently identifying suitable solvents for active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs) is critical in drug formulation, yet the vast number of possible solvent-solute combinations presents a significant experimental challenge. This study addresses this by developing a robust machine learning (ML) model for accurately predicting the solubility of three phenolic acids (syringic, p-coumaric, and caffeic) in various deep eutectic solvents (DESs), integrating both experimental and computational investigations. Measured solubility data showed that the choline chloride combined with triethylene glycol in a 1:2 molar ratio was the most efficient system for the dissolution of the studied APIs. Different ML models, utilizing nu-Support Vector Regression (nuSVR) as the core regressor and based on descriptor sets derived from COSMO-RS (Conductor-like Screening Model for Real Solvents) computations, were systematically evaluated. A novel methodology termed DOO-IT (Dual-Objective Optimization with ITerative feature pruning) was employed to address the common challenges of model development with limited, high-value datasets. The final optimal 10-descriptor nuSVR model, selected from an exhaustive, multi-run search, demonstrated outstanding predictive power, offering a highly reliable computational tool for guiding experimental screening, significantly accelerating the exploration of DES-based formulations. This research also provides a strong foundation for future machine learning-guided discovery of chemicals, offering an effective and transferable framework for developing QSPR models for various chemical systems.