SEIRD EPIDEMIOLOGICAL MODELS FOR PLANT DISEASE

This paper explores the potential application of the SEIRD epidemiological modelcommonly used in human disease modelingto the context of plant disease outbreaks.Plant pathogens pose a significant threat to agricultural productivity, necessitating robust quantitative tools for understanding their dynamics and guiding control strategies.The SEIRD model was adapted to plant pathology by incorporating key agricultural variables, including environmental factors (e.g., humidity and temperature), plant growth stages, and the impact of interventions such as chemical treatments and removal of infected plants.Spatial dynamics were also modeled using traveling wave formulations.Results indicate that the modified model effectively captures the temporal and spatial progression of plant epidemics, enabling prediction of outbreak peaks and evaluation of control measures.This study presents a flexible mathematical framework that can be extended to various plant diseases, providing a valuable tool for data-driven decision-making in smart agriculture and epidemic risk management.