Macro–Micro Quantitative Model for Deformation Prediction of Artificial Structural Loess

To overcome the limitations imposed by the anisotropy and heterogeneity of natural loess, this study establishes a novel quantitative macro–micro correlation framework for investigating the deformation mechanisms of artificial structural loess (ASL). ASL samples were prepared by mixing remolded loess with cement (0–4%) and NaCl (0–16%), followed by static compaction (95% degree) and 28-day curing (20 ± 2 °C, >90% RH) to replicate the structural properties of natural loess under controlled conditions. An integrated experimental methodology was employed, incorporating consolidation/collapsibility tests, particle size analysis, X-ray diffraction (XRD), and mercury intrusion porosimetry (MIP). A three-dimensional nonlinear model was proposed. The findings show that intergranular cementation, particle size distribution, and pore architecture are the main factors influencing loess’s compressibility and collapsibility. A critical transition from medium to low compressibility was observed at cement content ≥1% and moisture content ≤16%. A strong correlation (Pearson |r| > 0.96) was identified between the mesopore volume ratio and the collapsibility coefficient. The innovation of this study lies in the establishment of a three-dimensional nonlinear model that quantitatively correlates key microstructural parameters (fractal dimension value (D), clay mineral ratio (C), and large and medium porosity (n)) with macroscopic deformation indicators (porosity ratio (e) and collapsibility coefficient (δs)). The measured data and the model’s output agree quite well, with a determination coefficient (R2) of 0.893 for porosity and 0.746 for collapsibility, verifying the reliability of the model. This study provides a novel quantitative tool for loess deformation prediction, offering significant value for engineering settlement assessment in controlled cementation and moisture conditions, though its application to natural loess requires further validation.