Research on Photovoltaic Power Generation Power Prediction Method Based on Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Network Coupled with Tramsformer
With the development of renewable energy, photov oltaic power generation forecasting plays a crucial role in new ene rgy consumption. Traditional prediction methods still have obvio us shortcomings in modeling spatio-temporal dependence and im proving model generalization ability, and it is difficult to adapt to high-frequency fluctuations and multi-source heterogeneous data environments. Therefore, this paper proposes a photovoltaic pow er generation prediction model (STGCN-Transformer) that comb ines spatiotemporal graph convolutional network and transforme $\mathbf{r}$ encoder. Firstly, the model effectively captures the spatial correl ation between photovoltaic power plants through the spatio-temp oral graph convolutional network (STGCN). Secondly, a long-ter m time-dependent model is established based on the self-attention mechanism of Transformer. Finally, through the in-depth modeli ng of historical power data and meteorological data, the model ca n comprehensively consider the impact of environmental factors o n photovoltaic power. The experimental results show that the pro posed method significantly improves the accuracy of photovoltaic power generation power prediction.
Authors
- Xiangdong Meng (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3568-3986)
- Zecheng Zhang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1412-8457)
- Haifeng Zhang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7449-3560)
- Jiarui Wang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7909-3796)
- Hui Wang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3092-0783)
- Dexin Li (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0001-2649-1042)
Institutions
- Jilin Electric Power Research Institute (China) (CN)
- Changchun Institute of Technology (CN)
Publication Details
- Published
- 2025-08-22
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1109/pges66344.2025.11193548
- Primary Topic
- Technology and Security Systems
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00