Carbon storage portfolios for the transition to net zero

<h2>Summary</h2> Net-zero targets are widely adopted by companies and countries worldwide. To achieve these goals, more companies are investing in diverse carbon removal portfolios. This study develops a new risk management framework that combines forestry, biochar, and geological storage offsets into portfolios that could stabilize global temperatures over multi-century time periods. We find that if a carbon storage portfolio reaches an equilibrium state of CO<sub>2</sub> stored, it can be leveraged to stabilize global temperatures by increasing the size of the portfolio relative to the amount of removal claimed. For moderate-risk primarily forestry portfolios retaining 0.75–0.55 tCO<sub>2</sub> of the 1 tCO<sub>2</sub> stored, an additional 0.30–0.80 tCO<sub>2</sub> removal is needed to offset re-releases over 1,000 years. High-risk portfolios retaining only 0.10 tCO<sub>2</sub> require over 9 tCO<sub>2</sub> additional removal. Portfolios that are predicted to re-release almost all CO<sub>2</sub> cannot be leveraged and are ineffective at meeting temperature stabilization goals. These findings have implications for policy and corporate climate action.

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Publication Details

Journal
Joule
Published
2025-10-15
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joule.2025.102164
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Climate Change Policy and Economics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
3.13

Funders

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article

Carbon storage portfolios for the transition to net zero

Conor Hickey, Stuart Jenkins, Myles Allen
1 citations
Joule
Climate Change Policy and Economics
3.13
article

Carbon storage portfolios for the transition to net zero

Conor Hickey, Stuart Jenkins, Myles Allen
article en
1 citations

Abstract

<h2>Summary</h2> Net-zero targets are widely adopted by companies and countries worldwide. To achieve these goals, more companies are investing in diverse carbon removal portfolios. This study develops a new risk management framework that combines forestry, biochar, and geological storage offsets into portfolios that could stabilize global temperatures over multi-century time periods. We find that if a carbon storage portfolio reaches an equilibrium state of CO<sub>2</sub> stored, it can be leveraged to stabilize global temperatures by increasing the size of the portfolio relative to the amount of removal claimed. For moderate-risk primarily forestry portfolios retaining 0.75–0.55 tCO<sub>2</sub> of the 1 tCO<sub>2</sub> stored, an additional 0.30–0.80 tCO<sub>2</sub> removal is needed to offset re-releases over 1,000 years. High-risk portfolios retaining only 0.10 tCO<sub>2</sub> require over 9 tCO<sub>2</sub> additional removal. Portfolios that are predicted to re-release almost all CO<sub>2</sub> cannot be leveraged and are ineffective at meeting temperature stabilization goals. These findings have implications for policy and corporate climate action.

JouleVol. 9(11)
Harvard University (US), University of Cambridge (GB), Harvard University Press (US), University of Oxford (GB), Dana-Farber/Harvard Cancer Center (US)
Harvard Business School, University of Oxford, European Commission
Openalex Percentile: Top 6%
Climate Change Policy and Economics
3.13
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