How does AI compare to the experts in a Delphi setting: simulating medical consensus with large language models

LLM-based Delphi methods demonstrated high clinical consensus closely aligned with human expert decisions. LLMs effectively simulated structured human-like deliberative reasoning, though they tended to adopt more guideline-driven and conservative positions. However, the use of commercial LLM platforms limits control over model parameters that may affect reproducibility. While the current study suggests that LLMs hold promise as complementary tools in medical consensus-building processes, further research addressing parameter optimization is warranted.

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Publication Details

Journal
International Journal of Surgery
Published
2025-10-15
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1097/js9.0000000000003631
Citations
2
Primary Topic
Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare and Education
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.31
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article

How does AI compare to the experts in a Delphi setting: simulating medical consensus with large language models

Songchang Shi, Abdelrahman Ali Nimeri, Ahram Han, Ali Tavakkoli et al.
2 citations
International Journal of Surgery
Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare and Education
1.31
article

How does AI compare to the experts in a Delphi setting: simulating medical consensus with large language models

Songchang Shi, Abdelrahman Ali Nimeri, Ahram Han, Ali Tavakkoli, Eric G. Sheu, Dongjae Jeon, Young Suk Park
article en
2 citations

Abstract

LLM-based Delphi methods demonstrated high clinical consensus closely aligned with human expert decisions. LLMs effectively simulated structured human-like deliberative reasoning, though they tended to adopt more guideline-driven and conservative positions. However, the use of commercial LLM platforms limits control over model parameters that may affect reproducibility. While the current study suggests that LLMs hold promise as complementary tools in medical consensus-building processes, further research addressing parameter optimization is warranted.

International Journal of SurgeryVol. 112(2)
Brigham and Women's Hospital (US), Fujian Medical University (CN), Seoul National University Hospital (KR), Seoul National University Bundang Hospital (KR), Fujian Provincial Hospital (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 14%
Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare and Education
1.31
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How does AI compare to the experts in a Delphi setting: simulating medical consensus with large language models — Songchang Shi, Abdelrahman Ali Nimeri, et al. · International Journal of Surgery (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS