Daily evolution of VOCs in Beijing: chemistry, emissions, transport, and policy implications

Volatile organic compounds (VOCs) are important precursors to the formation of ozone (O 3 ) and secondary organic aerosols (SOA) and can also have direct human health impacts. The emissions of VOCs remain poorly characterized due to the complexity and variability of their sources. The VOC levels in Beijing during the winter campaign (APHH) were investigated using a dispersion model (NAME), and a chemical box model (AtChem2) in order to understand how chemistry and transport affect the VOC concentrations in Beijing. Emissions of VOCs in Beijing and contributions from outside Beijing were modelled using the NAME dispersion model combined with the emission inventories and were used to initialize the AtChem2 box model. The modelled concentrations of VOCs from the NAME-AtChem2 combination were then compared to the output of a chemical transport model (GEOS-Chem). The results from the emission inventories and the NAME air mass pathways suggest that industrial sources to the south of Beijing and within Beijing during the winter campaign are very important in controlling the VOC levels in Beijing. A number of scenarios with different nitrogen oxides to ozone ratios (NO x /O 3 ) and hydroxyl (OH) levels were simulated to determine the changes in VOC levels. In Beijing over 80% of VOC are emitted locally during winter. Most scenarios are in good agreement with daily GEOS-Chem simulations, with the best agreements seen for the modelled concentrations of ethanol, benzene and propane with correlation coefficients of 0.67, 0.63 and 0.64 respectively. Furthermore, the production of formaldehyde in an air mass within 24 hours of travel from Beijing was investigated, and it was estimated that 90% of formaldehyde in Beijing is secondary, produced from oxidation of non-methane volatile organic compounds (NMVOCs). The benzene/CO and toluene/CO ratios during the campaign are very similar to the ratio derived from literature for 2014 in Beijing, however more data are needed to enable investigation of more species over longer timeframes to determine whether this ratio can be applied to predicting VOCs in Beijing. The results suggest that VOC concentrations in Beijing are driven predominantly by sources within Beijing and by local atmospheric chemistry during the winter. Moreover, the relationship of the NO x /VOC and O 3 shows that the VOCs during the winter campaign are possibly emitted from similar sources as NO x . • Over 80% of VOCs in Beijing during winter come from local sources. • Industrial emissions significantly contribute to VOC levels and winter pollution. • Over 90% of formaldehyde in Beijing is produced from VOC oxidation. • NAME-AtChem2 results align well with GEOS-Chem and observed VOC data.