Intelligent Settlement Forecasting of Surrounding Buildings During Deep Foundation Pit Excavation Using GWO-VMD-LSTM

In the context of deep foundation pit excavation, the settlement of surrounding buildings is a critical indicator for safety assessment and early warning. Due to the non-stationary and nonlinear characteristics of settlement data, traditional prediction approaches often fail to achieve satisfactory accuracy. To address this challenge, this study proposes a hybrid prediction model integrating the Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO), Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD), and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, referred to as the GWO-VMD-LSTM model. In the proposed framework, GWO is employed to optimize the key hyperparameters of VMD as well as LSTM, thereby ensuring robust decomposition and prediction performance. Experimental results based on settlement monitoring data from four typical points around the Yongning Hospital foundation pit in Taizhou, China, demonstrate that the proposed model achieves superior predictive accuracy compared with five benchmark models. Specifically, the GWO-VMD-LSTM model attained an average coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.951, mean squared error (MSE) of 0.002, root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.033 mm, mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.031 mm, and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 1.324%, outperforming all alternatives. For instance, compared with the VMD-LSTM model, the proposed method improved R2 by 26.56% and reduced MAPE by 45.87%. These findings confirm that the GWO-VMD-LSTM model not only enhances the accuracy and generalization of settlement prediction but also provides a reliable and practical tool for real-time monitoring and risk assessment of buildings adjacent to deep foundation pits in soft soil regions.