Japans Lost Decades and Chinas Economic Slowdown: Structural Challenges and Policy Lessons

The Chinese economy has shown rapid growth throughout multiple decades, yet its growth rate has dramatically decreased since COVID-19 emerged. The combination of weak domestic demand and rising debt and a struggling property sector has led scholars to draw parallels between China's current economic situation and Japan's 'Lost Decades' period during the 1990s and 2000s when an asset bubble collapse caused extended stagnation. This paper investigates the similarities between Japan's past economic challenges and China's present-day economic difficulties. The paper demonstrates that China's economic slowdown stems from basic structural problems which include its dependence on real estate and high corporate and local government debt levels and declining household spending. This research employs a comparative case study methodology to evaluate secondary data from reliable sources regarding demand shortages and macroeconomic policy actions in Japan and China. The paper draws attention to Japan's stagnation period policy errors which included early fiscal tightening and delayed banking reforms to guide Beijing during its current economic difficulties. The research shows that historical comparisons remain relevant, but China can prevent a lost decade by fixing its core structural problems. The research reveals critical information about potential risks and policy alternatives that will determine China's sustainable recovery trajectory.

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Publication Details

Journal
Advances in Economics Management and Political Sciences
Published
2025-10-14
DOI
https://doi.org/10.54254/2754-1169/2025.gl27790
Primary Topic
Global trade and economics
Type
article
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article

Japans Lost Decades and Chinas Economic Slowdown: Structural Challenges and Policy Lessons

Junyi Liang
Advances in Economics Management and Political Sciences
Global trade and economics
article

Japans Lost Decades and Chinas Economic Slowdown: Structural Challenges and Policy Lessons

Junyi Liang
article en

Abstract

The Chinese economy has shown rapid growth throughout multiple decades, yet its growth rate has dramatically decreased since COVID-19 emerged. The combination of weak domestic demand and rising debt and a struggling property sector has led scholars to draw parallels between China's current economic situation and Japan's 'Lost Decades' period during the 1990s and 2000s when an asset bubble collapse caused extended stagnation. This paper investigates the similarities between Japan's past economic challenges and China's present-day economic difficulties. The paper demonstrates that China's economic slowdown stems from basic structural problems which include its dependence on real estate and high corporate and local government debt levels and declining household spending. This research employs a comparative case study methodology to evaluate secondary data from reliable sources regarding demand shortages and macroeconomic policy actions in Japan and China. The paper draws attention to Japan's stagnation period policy errors which included early fiscal tightening and delayed banking reforms to guide Beijing during its current economic difficulties. The research shows that historical comparisons remain relevant, but China can prevent a lost decade by fixing its core structural problems. The research reveals critical information about potential risks and policy alternatives that will determine China's sustainable recovery trajectory.

Advances in Economics Management and Political SciencesVol. 223(1)
University of Glasgow (GB)
Openalex Percentile: Top 54%
Global trade and economics
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