Long-Term Hydrodynamic Modeling of Low-Flow Conditions with Groundwater–River Interaction: Case Study of the Rur River

Groundwater plays a critical role in maintaining streamflow during low-flow periods. However, accurately quantifying groundwater flow still remains a modeling challenge. Prolonged low-flow or drought conditions necessitate long-term simulations, further increasing the complexity of achieving reliable results. To address these issues, a novel modeling framework (HYD module in LoFloDes) that integrates a one-dimensional (1D) river module with two-dimensional (2D) groundwater module via bidirectional coupling, enabling robust and accurate simulations of both groundwater and river dynamics throughout their interactions, especially over extended periods, was developed. The HYD module was applied to the Rur River, calibrated using gridded groundwater data, groundwater and river gauge data from 2002 to 2005 and validated from 1991 to 2020. During validation periods, the simulated river and groundwater levels generally reproduced observed trends, although suboptimal performance at certain gauges is attributed to unmodeled local anthropogenic influences. Comparative simulations demonstrated that the incorporation of groundwater–river interactions markedly enhanced model performance, especially at the downstream Stah gauge, where the coefficient of determination (R2) increased from 0.83 without interaction to 0.9 with interaction. Consistent with spatio-temporal patterns of this interaction, simulated groundwater contributions increased from upstream to downstream and were elevated during low-flow months. These findings underscore the important role of groundwater contributions in local river dynamics along the Rur River reach. The successful application of the HYD module demonstrates its capacity for long-term simulations of coupled groundwater–surface water systems and underscores its potential as a valuable tool for integrated river and groundwater resources management.