An Alternative Mechanism of Land Subsidence: Osmotic Effects Due to Seawater Intrusion

Land subsidence is widely present across the globe and brings catastrophic hazards. The well-acknowledged mechanism of subsidence is groundwater pumping, which leads to the reduction of hydraulic head and hence increases the effective stress, resulting in the vertical compaction of unconsolidated sediment. Here, we propose a hypothesis that subsidence in the coastal areas might be caused by osmotic effects, given the presence of seawater intrusion. The hypothesis is corroborated by simulating fluid flow, solute transport, and elastic deformation of multi-layered aquifer-aquitard systems. The simulations potentially cover a variety of natural environments by varying concentration, hydraulic head, thickness of aquitard, and hydraulic conductivity. We find that osmotic effects due to seawater intrusion play a non-negligible role in controlling subsidence in our studied cases, suggesting that future work on subsidence in areas impacted by seawater intrusion should fully incorporate osmotic effects to improve our understanding and prediction of subsidence.