Identification- and many moment-robust inference via invariant moment conditions

Identification-robust hypothesis tests are commonly based on the continuous updating GMM objective function. When the number of moment conditions grows proportionally with the sample size, the large-dimensional weighting matrix prohibits the use of conventional asymptotic approximations and the behavior of these tests remains unknown. We show that the structure of the weighting matrix opens up an alternative route to asymptotic results when, under the null hypothesis, the distribution of the moment conditions satisfies a symmetry condition known as reflection invariance. We provide several examples in which the invariance follows from standard assumptions. Our results show that existing tests will be asymptotically conservative, and we propose an adjustment to attain nominal size in large samples. We illustrate our findings through simulations for various linear and nonlinear models, and an empirical application on the effect of the concentration of financial activities in banks on systemic risk.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Econometrics
Published
2025-10-13
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2025.106114
Primary Topic
Statistical Methods and Inference
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Identification- and many moment-robust inference via invariant moment conditions

Johannes W. Ligtenberg, Tom Boot
Journal of Econometrics
Statistical Methods and Inference
article

Identification- and many moment-robust inference via invariant moment conditions

Johannes W. Ligtenberg, Tom Boot
article en

Abstract

Identification-robust hypothesis tests are commonly based on the continuous updating GMM objective function. When the number of moment conditions grows proportionally with the sample size, the large-dimensional weighting matrix prohibits the use of conventional asymptotic approximations and the behavior of these tests remains unknown. We show that the structure of the weighting matrix opens up an alternative route to asymptotic results when, under the null hypothesis, the distribution of the moment conditions satisfies a symmetry condition known as reflection invariance. We provide several examples in which the invariance follows from standard assumptions. Our results show that existing tests will be asymptotically conservative, and we propose an adjustment to attain nominal size in large samples. We illustrate our findings through simulations for various linear and nonlinear models, and an empirical application on the effect of the concentration of financial activities in banks on systemic risk.

Journal of EconometricsVol. 252
University of Groningen (NL), Erasmus University Rotterdam (NL)
Nederlandse Organisatie voor Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek
Openalex Percentile: Top 73%
Statistical Methods and Inference
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