Risk premia from the cross-section of individual assets

We propose the continuous updating estimator (CUE) for estimating ex-post risk premia from large cross-sections of individual asset returns over limited time periods. We analyze its properties while also allowing for an unknown number of unobserved factors. The CUE then provides an estimator of its, so-called, pseudo-true value, i . e . , the risk premia on the observed factors without assuming that they comprise all priced factors. We develop size-correct procedures for testing hypotheses on the estimand of the CUE, which are more precise than existing ones. The proposed methodology is used to examine risk factors widely analyzed using a small number of portfolios. Our findings are that market, size, and momentum factors carry largely positive risk premia, while many other factors much less so. Different factors therefore stand out in the cross-section of individual assets.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Econometrics
Published
2025-10-13
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2025.106108
Primary Topic
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Type
article
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article

Risk premia from the cross-section of individual assets

Frank Kleibergen, Zhaoguo Zhan
Journal of Econometrics
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
article

Risk premia from the cross-section of individual assets

Frank Kleibergen, Zhaoguo Zhan
article en

Abstract

We propose the continuous updating estimator (CUE) for estimating ex-post risk premia from large cross-sections of individual asset returns over limited time periods. We analyze its properties while also allowing for an unknown number of unobserved factors. The CUE then provides an estimator of its, so-called, pseudo-true value, i . e . , the risk premia on the observed factors without assuming that they comprise all priced factors. We develop size-correct procedures for testing hypotheses on the estimand of the CUE, which are more precise than existing ones. The proposed methodology is used to examine risk factors widely analyzed using a small number of portfolios. Our findings are that market, size, and momentum factors carry largely positive risk premia, while many other factors much less so. Different factors therefore stand out in the cross-section of individual assets.

Journal of EconometricsVol. 252
Kennesaw State University (US), University of Amsterdam (NL)
Openalex Percentile: Top 63%
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
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