Transit-Oriented Development Urban Spatial Forms and Typhoon Resilience in Taipei: A Dynamic Analytic Network Process Evaluation

Taipei’s metropolitan region faces frequent typhoon impacts that test its urban resilience. This study examines the relationship between Transit-Oriented Development (TOD) urban spatial forms and Taipei’s resilience against typhoons, considering both physical urban morphology and planning factors. We apply a Dynamic Analytic Network Process (DANP), an integrated DEMATEL-ANP multi-criteria approach to evaluate and prioritize key resilience-related spatial and planning factors in TOD areas. Rather than using GIS flood modeling, we emphasize empirical indicators derived from local data, including urban density, transit accessibility, historical typhoon flood impacts, infrastructure vulnerability, and demographic exposure. An extensive literature review covers TOD principles, urban resilience theory, and DANP methodology, with a particular emphasis on the Taiwanese context and case studies. Empirical results reveal that specific TOD characteristics indeed enhance typhoon resilience. High-density, mixed-use development around transit can reduce overall exposure to hazards by curbing sprawl into floodplains and enabling efficient evacuations. Using DANP, we find that infrastructure robustness and emergency planning capacity emerge as the most influential factors for resilience in Taipei’s TOD neighborhoods, followed by land use and management and transit accessibility. Weighted rankings of Taipei’s districts suggest that centrally located TOD-intensive districts score higher in resilience metrics, while peripheral districts with flood-prone areas tend to lag. The Discussion explores these findings, considering planning policies—noting that TOD can bolster resilience if coupled with adaptive infrastructure and inclusive planning—and compares them with examples like Singapore’s integrated land use and transit strategy, which dramatically reduced flood risk. The study concludes with policy implications for integrating TOD and climate resilience in urban planning, and contributions of the DANP approach for complex urban resilience evaluations.