Ensemble Optimal Control for Managing Drug Resistance in Cancer Therapies

In this paper, we explore the application of ensemble optimal control to derive enhanced strategies for pharmacological cancer treatment, and we tackle the problem of the long-term management of the disease, i.e., when the complete eradication of the tumor is not achievable. In particular, we focus on moving beyond the classical clinical approach of giving the patient the maximal tolerated drug dose (MTD), which does not properly exploit the fight among sensitive and resistant cells for the available resources. Here, we employ a Lotka-Volterra model to describe the competing subpopulations, and we enclose this system within the ensemble control framework. In the first part, we establish general results suitable for application to various cancers. Then, we carry out numerical simulations in the setting of prostate cancer treated with androgen deprivation therapy, yielding a computed policy that is reminiscent of the medical 'active surveillance' paradigm. Finally, inspired by the numerical evidence, we propose a variant of the celebrated adaptive therapy (AT), which we call 'Off-On' AT.

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Journal
Bulletin of Mathematical Biology
Published
2026-05-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11538-026-01661-z
Primary Topic
Mathematical Biology Tumor Growth
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Ensemble Optimal Control for Managing Drug Resistance in Cancer Therapies

Laura D. Locati, Alessandro Scagliotti, Federico Sottotetti, Federico Scagliotti
Bulletin of Mathematical Biology
Mathematical Biology Tumor Growth
article

Ensemble Optimal Control for Managing Drug Resistance in Cancer Therapies

Laura D. Locati, Alessandro Scagliotti, Federico Sottotetti, Federico Scagliotti
article en

Abstract

In this paper, we explore the application of ensemble optimal control to derive enhanced strategies for pharmacological cancer treatment, and we tackle the problem of the long-term management of the disease, i.e., when the complete eradication of the tumor is not achievable. In particular, we focus on moving beyond the classical clinical approach of giving the patient the maximal tolerated drug dose (MTD), which does not properly exploit the fight among sensitive and resistant cells for the available resources. Here, we employ a Lotka-Volterra model to describe the competing subpopulations, and we enclose this system within the ensemble control framework. In the first part, we establish general results suitable for application to various cancers. Then, we carry out numerical simulations in the setting of prostate cancer treated with androgen deprivation therapy, yielding a computed policy that is reminiscent of the medical 'active surveillance' paradigm. Finally, inspired by the numerical evidence, we propose a variant of the celebrated adaptive therapy (AT), which we call 'Off-On' AT.

Bulletin of Mathematical BiologyVol. 88(6)
University of Pavia (IT), Istituti Clinici Scientifici Maugeri (IT), Munich Center for Quantum Science and Technology (DE), Technical University of Munich (DE)
Istituto Nazionale di Alta Matematica "Francesco Severi", European Commission, Technische Universität München, Gruppo Nazionale per l'Analisi Matematica, la Probabilità e le loro Applicazioni, HORIZON EUROPE Framework Programme, HORIZON EUROPE European Research Council
Openalex Percentile: Top 99%
Mathematical Biology Tumor Growth
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Ensemble Optimal Control for Managing Drug Resistance in Cancer Therapies — Laura D. Locati, Alessandro Scagliotti, et al. · Bulletin of Mathematical Biology (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS