Pan-alpine summer temperatures since 742 CE

Albeit labor-intensive, tree-ring maximum latewood density (MXD) has become a prime proxy to reconstruct inter-annual to multi-centennial climate variability. We here combine such data from five valleys in Austria, France and Switzerland to present a June-September temperature history for the European Alps reaching back to 742 CE. The pan-alpine record correlates at r 1880-2023 = 0.89 with observational data and provides evidence for a prolonged Little Ice Age (LIA) from the 1250 s to 1850s CE, during which summer temperatures were 0.59°C cooler compared to the preceding Medieval Warm Period (MWP) from the 880 s to 1240 s CE. Temperatures rose by 3.65°C from the coldest decade in the 1810s, which includes the 1816 CE post-Tambora “year without a summer”, to the warmest decade in the 2010s. The warmest summer in our reconstruction occurred in 2003 CE (+2.71°C) and exceeds the warmest naturally forced summer in 970 CE (+2.19°C) by more than 0.5°C. This difference is non-significant, however, if we consider the increasing uncertainties back in time when fewer sites and trees contributed to the reconstruction. The pan-alpine record is the result of conducting MXD measurements over the past two decades in Swiss and German laboratories and sets a new standard in terms of explained variance and pre-instrumental temperature variability estimation in the European Alps.

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Publication Details

Journal
Dendrochronologia
Published
2025-10-12
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dendro.2025.126432
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Tree-ring climate responses
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.30
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article

Pan-alpine summer temperatures since 742 CE

Alexander V. Kirdyanov, Feng Chen, Edurne Martínez del Castillo, Marco Carrer et al.
1 citations
Dendrochronologia
Tree-ring climate responses
1.30
article

Pan-alpine summer temperatures since 742 CE

Alexander V. Kirdyanov, Feng Chen, Edurne Martínez del Castillo, Marco Carrer, Miroslav Trnka, Max C. A. Torbenson, Alberto Arzac, Ernesto Tejedor, Frederick Reinig, Jan Esper, Marcel Kunz, Ulf Büntgen, Alper Kaan Kadioglu
article en
1 citations

Abstract

Albeit labor-intensive, tree-ring maximum latewood density (MXD) has become a prime proxy to reconstruct inter-annual to multi-centennial climate variability. We here combine such data from five valleys in Austria, France and Switzerland to present a June-September temperature history for the European Alps reaching back to 742 CE. The pan-alpine record correlates at r 1880-2023 = 0.89 with observational data and provides evidence for a prolonged Little Ice Age (LIA) from the 1250 s to 1850s CE, during which summer temperatures were 0.59°C cooler compared to the preceding Medieval Warm Period (MWP) from the 880 s to 1240 s CE. Temperatures rose by 3.65°C from the coldest decade in the 1810s, which includes the 1816 CE post-Tambora “year without a summer”, to the warmest decade in the 2010s. The warmest summer in our reconstruction occurred in 2003 CE (+2.71°C) and exceeds the warmest naturally forced summer in 970 CE (+2.19°C) by more than 0.5°C. This difference is non-significant, however, if we consider the increasing uncertainties back in time when fewer sites and trees contributed to the reconstruction. The pan-alpine record is the result of conducting MXD measurements over the past two decades in Swiss and German laboratories and sets a new standard in terms of explained variance and pre-instrumental temperature variability estimation in the European Alps.

DendrochronologiaVol. 94
University of Padua (IT), China Meteorological Administration (CN), Yunnan University (CN), Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz (DE), Masaryk University (CZ), University of Cambridge (GB), Czech Academy of Sciences, Global Change Research Institute (CZ), Museo Nacional de Ciencias Naturales (ES), Sukachev Institute of Forest (RU), Siberian Federal University (RU), Mendel University in Brno (CZ)
Openalex Percentile: Top 17%
Tree-ring climate responses
1.30
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