Pan-alpine summer temperatures since 742 CE
Albeit labor-intensive, tree-ring maximum latewood density (MXD) has become a prime proxy to reconstruct inter-annual to multi-centennial climate variability. We here combine such data from five valleys in Austria, France and Switzerland to present a June-September temperature history for the European Alps reaching back to 742 CE. The pan-alpine record correlates at r 1880-2023 = 0.89 with observational data and provides evidence for a prolonged Little Ice Age (LIA) from the 1250 s to 1850s CE, during which summer temperatures were 0.59°C cooler compared to the preceding Medieval Warm Period (MWP) from the 880 s to 1240 s CE. Temperatures rose by 3.65°C from the coldest decade in the 1810s, which includes the 1816 CE post-Tambora “year without a summer”, to the warmest decade in the 2010s. The warmest summer in our reconstruction occurred in 2003 CE (+2.71°C) and exceeds the warmest naturally forced summer in 970 CE (+2.19°C) by more than 0.5°C. This difference is non-significant, however, if we consider the increasing uncertainties back in time when fewer sites and trees contributed to the reconstruction. The pan-alpine record is the result of conducting MXD measurements over the past two decades in Swiss and German laboratories and sets a new standard in terms of explained variance and pre-instrumental temperature variability estimation in the European Alps.
Authors
- Alexander V. Kirdyanov (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6797-4964)
- Feng Chen (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2551-8653)
- Edurne Martínez del Castillo (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1542-2698)
- Marco Carrer (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1581-6259)
- Miroslav Trnka (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4727-8379)
- Max C. A. Torbenson (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2720-2238)
- Alberto Arzac (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3361-5349)
- Ernesto Tejedor (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6825-3870)
- Frederick Reinig (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6839-8340)
- Jan Esper (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3919-014X)
- Marcel Kunz (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0001-7116-1114)
- Ulf Büntgen
- Alper Kaan Kadioglu
Institutions
- University of Padua (IT)
- China Meteorological Administration (CN)
- Yunnan University (CN)
- Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz (DE)
- Masaryk University (CZ)
- University of Cambridge (GB)
- Czech Academy of Sciences, Global Change Research Institute (CZ)
- Museo Nacional de Ciencias Naturales (ES)
- Sukachev Institute of Forest (RU)
- Siberian Federal University (RU)
- Mendel University in Brno (CZ)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Dendrochronologia
- Published
- 2025-10-12
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dendro.2025.126432
- Citations
- 1
- Primary Topic
- Tree-ring climate responses
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 1.30