Adaptive Traffic Congestion Prediction Using LSTM Networks and Physics-Based Models

Accurately modelling and predicting traffic congestion is essential for effective traffic management in dynamic urban environments. This study introduces a hybrid model that combines a deep neural network architecture, designed to capture long-term temporal dependencies, with physics-based approaches to traffic modelling. The deep learning component identifies complex temporal patterns and non-linear behaviours in traffic evolution, while the physics-based component incorporates dynamic constraints that enhance the model’s robustness and ability to generalise. This integration leverages the predictive power of machine learning while maintaining consistency with the fundamental principles governing vehicle flow. Experiments conducted using real-world traffic data demonstrate strong predictive performance, establishing a solid foundation for the development of intelligent transportation management systems and providing advanced tools to support adaptive mobility optimisation in congested urban settings.

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Publication Details

Journal
International Journal of Combinatorial Optimization Problems and Informatics.
Published
2025-10-12
DOI
https://doi.org/10.61467/2007.1558.2025.v16i4.1021
Primary Topic
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Adaptive Traffic Congestion Prediction Using LSTM Networks and Physics-Based Models

Alicia Martínez, Hugo Estrada, Eddie Clemente, Ernesto De la Cruz-Nicolás et al.
International Journal of Combinatorial Optimization Problems and Informatics.
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
article

Adaptive Traffic Congestion Prediction Using LSTM Networks and Physics-Based Models

Alicia Martínez, Hugo Estrada, Eddie Clemente, Ernesto De la Cruz-Nicolás, Odette Alejandra Pliego-Martínez
article en

Abstract

Accurately modelling and predicting traffic congestion is essential for effective traffic management in dynamic urban environments. This study introduces a hybrid model that combines a deep neural network architecture, designed to capture long-term temporal dependencies, with physics-based approaches to traffic modelling. The deep learning component identifies complex temporal patterns and non-linear behaviours in traffic evolution, while the physics-based component incorporates dynamic constraints that enhance the model’s robustness and ability to generalise. This integration leverages the predictive power of machine learning while maintaining consistency with the fundamental principles governing vehicle flow. Experiments conducted using real-world traffic data demonstrate strong predictive performance, establishing a solid foundation for the development of intelligent transportation management systems and providing advanced tools to support adaptive mobility optimisation in congested urban settings.

International Journal of Combinatorial Optimization Problems and Informatics.Vol. 16(4)
Tecnológico Nacional de México (MX), Centro Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo Tecnológico (MX)
Openalex Percentile: Top 69%
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
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Adaptive Traffic Congestion Prediction Using LSTM Networks and Physics-Based Models — Alicia Martínez, Hugo Estrada, et al. · International Journal of Combinatorial Optimization Problems and Informatics. (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS