A simple nonparametric approach to pricing credit default swaps
This study introduces a nonparametric approach to pricing credit default swaps (CDSs) and other single-name credit-risky securities. This method is notable for its simplicity, estimation speed, and flexibility. That is, it relies exclusively on closed-form solutions, which provide instantaneous results, and allows the user to reproduce any term structure of CDS spreads. I empirically assess its pricing performance by comparing it with an otherwise equivalent semiparametric (piecewise constant default probability) model that requires a series of root-search algorithms and represents the current market convention for marking-to-market CDS contracts. This analysis demonstrates that the new method also implies a reduction in mean percentage absolute pricing errors.
Authors
- Santiago Forte (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3206-1583)
Institutions
- Universitat Ramon Llull (ES)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
- Published
- 2025-10-11
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2025.105198
- Primary Topic
- Credit Risk and Financial Regulations
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00
Funders
- Agencia Estatal de Investigación