Attention-Aware Graph Neural Network Modeling for AIS Reception Area Prediction

Accurately predicting the reception area of the Automatic Identification System (AIS) is critical for ship tracking and anomaly detection, as errors in signal interpretation may lead to incorrect vessel localization and behavior analysis. However, traditional propagation models, whether they are deterministic, empirical, or semi-empirical, face limitations when applied to dynamic environments due to their reliance on detailed atmospheric and terrain inputs. Therefore, to address these challenges, we propose a data-driven approach based on graph neural networks (GNNs) to model AIS reception as a function of environmental and geographic variables. Specifically, inspired by attention mechanisms that power transformers in large language models, our framework employs the SAmple and aggreGatE (GraphSAGE) framework convolutions to aggregate neighborhood features, then combines layer outputs through Jumping Knowledge (JK) with Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM)-derived attention coefficients and integrates an attentional pooling module at the graph-level readout. Moreover, trained on real-world AIS data enriched with terrain and meteorological features, the model captures both local and long-range reception patterns. As a result, it outperforms classical baselines-including ITU-R P.2001 and XGBoost in F1-score and accuracy. Ultimately, this work illustrates the value of deep learning and AIS sensor networks for the detection of positioning anomalies in ship tracking and highlights the potential of data-driven approaches in modeling sensor reception.