Simulating cyber defense: the impact of phishing training and system updates on mitigating damage from hybrid phishing and watering hole attacks

As technology advances and organizations implement more robust security systems, it has become increasingly difficult for cybercriminals to penetrate these defenses using purely technical methods. In response, cybercriminal groups start to leverage techniques that exploit human errors within the organization to bypass security systems. The two most critical human mistakes that can occur within an organization are clicking on links or downloading files from suspicious emails and failing to update operating systems, software, or browsers in a timely manner. In this paper, we simulate hybrid spearphishing and watering hole attacks to analyze the actual effectiveness of investments in phishing education and system updates. Each simulation adjusts the level of phishing training and the employees’ proactivity in system updates to evaluate how these measures effectively reduce organizational vulnerability to cyber attacks. This study clarifies the efficacy of cybersecurity investments, assisting organizations to establish security policies based on clearer evidence.

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Publication Details

Journal
The Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation Applications Methodology Technology
Published
2025-10-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1177/15485129251365259
Primary Topic
Advanced Malware Detection Techniques
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Simulating cyber defense: the impact of phishing training and system updates on mitigating damage from hybrid phishing and watering hole attacks

Jeongkeun Shin, L.R. Carley, Kathleen M. Carley, Siyuan Zhai
The Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation Applications Methodology Technology
Advanced Malware Detection Techniques
article

Simulating cyber defense: the impact of phishing training and system updates on mitigating damage from hybrid phishing and watering hole attacks

Jeongkeun Shin, L.R. Carley, Kathleen M. Carley, Siyuan Zhai
article en

Abstract

As technology advances and organizations implement more robust security systems, it has become increasingly difficult for cybercriminals to penetrate these defenses using purely technical methods. In response, cybercriminal groups start to leverage techniques that exploit human errors within the organization to bypass security systems. The two most critical human mistakes that can occur within an organization are clicking on links or downloading files from suspicious emails and failing to update operating systems, software, or browsers in a timely manner. In this paper, we simulate hybrid spearphishing and watering hole attacks to analyze the actual effectiveness of investments in phishing education and system updates. Each simulation adjusts the level of phishing training and the employees’ proactivity in system updates to evaluate how these measures effectively reduce organizational vulnerability to cyber attacks. This study clarifies the efficacy of cybersecurity investments, assisting organizations to establish security policies based on clearer evidence.

The Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation Applications Methodology Technology
Software Engineering Institute (US), Carnegie Mellon University (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 65%
Advanced Malware Detection Techniques
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