Path-regularity and martingale properties of set-valued stochastic integrals
In this paper, we study the path-regularity and martingale properties of the set-valued stochastic integrals defined in our previous work [4]. Such integrals have some fundamental differences from the well-known Aumann-Itô stochastic integrals, and are much better suitable for representing set-valued martingales, whence potentially useful in the study of set-valued backward stochastic differential equations. However, similar to the Aumann-Itô integral, the new integral is only a set-valued submartingale in general, and there is very limited knowledge about the path regularity of the related indefinite integral, much less the sufficient conditions under which the integral is a true martingale. In this paper, we first establish the existence of right- and left-continuous modifications of set-valued submartingales in continuous time, and apply the results to set-valued stochastic integrals. Moreover, we show that a set-valued stochastic integral yields a martingale if and only if the set of terminal values of the stochastic integrals associated to the integrand is closed and decomposable. Finally, as a particular example, we study the set-valued martingale in the form of the conditional expectation of a set-valued random variable. We show that when the random variable is a convex random polytope, the conditional expectation of a vertex stays as a vertex of the set-valued conditional expectation if and only if the random polytope has a deterministic normal fan.
Authors
- Çağın Ararat (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6985-7665)
- Jin Ma (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6780-0956)
Institutions
- University of Southern California (US)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Probability Uncertainty and Quantitative Risk
- Published
- 2025-01-01
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.3934/puqr.2025020
- Primary Topic
- Fuzzy Systems and Optimization
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00
Funders
- National Science Foundation
- U.S. Department of State
- University of Southern California
- US-UK Fulbright Commission