An analysis of the behavior of investors in the Brazilian future market between jan/2018 and aug/2024

Objective: Investigate whether there was a change in the pattern of investor behavior in the Brazilian stock market between Jan/2018 and Aug/2024. Design/methodology/approach: The study investigates the behavior of the financial volume of Bovespa standard contract investors (large investors) and Ibovespa mini future contract investors (small investors) in three periods: pre-crisis (2018–2019), Covid-19 crisis (2020–2021) and post-crisis (2022–Aug/2024). For data analysis, multiple linear regression is used. Results: The results indicate: a) the volume of the standard portfolio is not affected by savings or investment funds in the pre-crisis, competes with savings in the crisis and follows investment funds in the post-crisis; b) the volume of the mini futures contract follows the standard contract in the pre-crisis (herd effect), follows the opposite direction during the crisis and has no relationship after the crisis. Therefore, there is a diverse response from investors in different market conditions. The research limitations/implication: Focuses on only two types of investors and does not capture the motivations and/or subjective perceptions of investors. Practical implications: Assists in the development of risk mitigation strategies that promote a more resilient market. Social implications: By understanding changes in investor behavior in different economic scenarios and different types of financial products, it can guide them to avoid making the same mistakes in the future. Originality/value: The analysis of financial behavior in different investment sizes, different economic scenarios and different financial assets.

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Publication Details

Journal
Revista de Administração da UFSM
Published
2025-09-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5902/1983465990705
Primary Topic
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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An analysis of the behavior of investors in the Brazilian future market between jan/2018 and aug/2024

Silvia Franco de Oliveira, Guilherme Graziani Romaris
Revista de Administração da UFSM
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
article

An analysis of the behavior of investors in the Brazilian future market between jan/2018 and aug/2024

Silvia Franco de Oliveira, Guilherme Graziani Romaris
article en

Abstract

Objective: Investigate whether there was a change in the pattern of investor behavior in the Brazilian stock market between Jan/2018 and Aug/2024. Design/methodology/approach: The study investigates the behavior of the financial volume of Bovespa standard contract investors (large investors) and Ibovespa mini future contract investors (small investors) in three periods: pre-crisis (2018–2019), Covid-19 crisis (2020–2021) and post-crisis (2022–Aug/2024). For data analysis, multiple linear regression is used. Results: The results indicate: a) the volume of the standard portfolio is not affected by savings or investment funds in the pre-crisis, competes with savings in the crisis and follows investment funds in the post-crisis; b) the volume of the mini futures contract follows the standard contract in the pre-crisis (herd effect), follows the opposite direction during the crisis and has no relationship after the crisis. Therefore, there is a diverse response from investors in different market conditions. The research limitations/implication: Focuses on only two types of investors and does not capture the motivations and/or subjective perceptions of investors. Practical implications: Assists in the development of risk mitigation strategies that promote a more resilient market. Social implications: By understanding changes in investor behavior in different economic scenarios and different types of financial products, it can guide them to avoid making the same mistakes in the future. Originality/value: The analysis of financial behavior in different investment sizes, different economic scenarios and different financial assets.

Revista de Administração da UFSMVol. 18(3)
Universidade Presbiteriana Mackenzie (BR)
Universidade Federal de Santa Maria
Openalex Percentile: Top 63%
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
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