Trends and projection of pulmonary tuberculosis incidence in Hubei Province, china: an age‒period‒cohort modeling study
The overall incidence of tuberculosis in Hubei Province has decreased. However, demographic changes, particularly population aging, have partially offset the achievements in reducing PTB incidence. Our findings suggest the urgency of strengthening health systems to meet the health needs of the elderly and young adults, and the importance of large-scale screening and risk factor control for PTB control and prevention.
Authors
- Liegang Liu (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7029-1224)
- Liping Zhou (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6555-8924)
- Yeqing Tong (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8971-3968)
- Yuhe Xia (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5723-7648)
- Qin Da
- Jianjun Ye
- Fan Wang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9869-9504)
- Jun Yin (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0008-5428-9969)
- Yu Zhang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1747-8786)
- Shu Zhang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3658-3159)
- Xingxing Lu
- Qi Pi
Institutions
- Nanfang Hospital (CN)
- Hubei Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CN)
- Huazhong University of Science and Technology (CN)
Publication Details
- Journal
- BMC Infectious Diseases
- Published
- 2025-10-10
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-025-11709-5
- Primary Topic
- Tuberculosis Research and Epidemiology
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00
Funders
- Centers for Disease Control and Prevention