Documentation of the Météo-France seasonal forecasting system 9

Météo-France has been involved in real-time seasonal forecasting activities since the late 1990s, andin operational production of seasonal forecasts for the Copernicus Climate Change Services (C3S)since 2017. This document provides the technical description of the 9th version of its seasonalforecasting system, planned to come into operations in April 2025. System 9 is an updated versionbuilding on the two preceding systems 7 and 8, respectively released in 2019 and 2021, anddocumented in Batté et al. (2019) and Batté et al. (2021).Section 2 of this report provides a brief overview of the new system, while Section 3 describes indetail each model component, including the main novelty which is the NEMO 4.2 ocean model comingalong the SI3 sea-ice model. Section 4 is dedicated to the initialization strategy, for which a similarinitialization strategy as in System 7 is used. Section 5 is dedicated to the ensemble generationstrategy, which is similar to System 8. Section 6 provides an overview of the workflow procedures,from initialization to post-processing.

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Publication Details

Journal
SPIRE - Sciences Po Institutional REpository
Published
2024-12-31
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15518106
Primary Topic
Regional Economic and Spatial Analysis
Type
article
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article

Documentation of the Météo-France seasonal forecasting system 9

Damien Specq, Constantin Ardilouze, Laurent Dorel, Jonathan Beuvier et al.
SPIRE - Sciences Po Institutional REpository
Regional Economic and Spatial Analysis
article

Documentation of the Météo-France seasonal forecasting system 9

Damien Specq, Constantin Ardilouze, Laurent Dorel, Jonathan Beuvier, Lauriane Batté
article en

Abstract

Météo-France has been involved in real-time seasonal forecasting activities since the late 1990s, andin operational production of seasonal forecasts for the Copernicus Climate Change Services (C3S)since 2017. This document provides the technical description of the 9th version of its seasonalforecasting system, planned to come into operations in April 2025. System 9 is an updated versionbuilding on the two preceding systems 7 and 8, respectively released in 2019 and 2021, anddocumented in Batté et al. (2019) and Batté et al. (2021).Section 2 of this report provides a brief overview of the new system, while Section 3 describes indetail each model component, including the main novelty which is the NEMO 4.2 ocean model comingalong the SI3 sea-ice model. Section 4 is dedicated to the initialization strategy, for which a similarinitialization strategy as in System 7 is used. Section 5 is dedicated to the ensemble generationstrategy, which is similar to System 8. Section 6 provides an overview of the workflow procedures,from initialization to post-processing.

SPIRE - Sciences Po Institutional REpository
Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques (FR), Météo-France (FR)
Openalex Percentile: Top 65%
Regional Economic and Spatial Analysis
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Documentation of the Météo-France seasonal forecasting system 9 — Damien Specq, Constantin Ardilouze, et al. · SPIRE - Sciences Po Institutional REpository (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS