AI-Driven Warehouse Networks: Integrating Probabilistic Forecasting with Dynamic Allocation

The rapid expansion of e-commerce has created an urgent demand for intelligent and precise warehouse management solutions. This study proposes an innovative framework integrating machine learning with optimization algorithms to systematically address two critical challenges: shipment volume prediction and multi-warehouse SKU allocation. To handle the non-Gaussian distribution, high volatility, and complex constraints characteristic of e-commerce data, we first developed a multimodal data preprocessing pipeline incorporating 3D visualization and robust interpolation techniques. This approach significantly enhanced data quality (missing value imputation error <tex xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">$&lt;3.2 \%$</tex>, outlier processing efficiency improved by 37 %). For shipment forecasting, a comparative analysis between RF and GBDT revealed RF's superior performance in both prediction accuracy (MAE <tex xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">$\mathbf{= 2 5. 7 3}$</tex> vs. GBDT's 26.86) and stability (residual SD <tex xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">$=60$</tex> vs. 103), particularly during high-volatility scenarios like promotional events. In warehouse optimization, our multiobjective model demonstrated that GA achieved better category affinity (<tex xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">$228,073.39$</tex> vs. PSO's <tex xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">$45,383.38$</tex>) and constraint satisfaction rates, while PSO yielded higher resource utilization (storage capacity utilization 0.63 % vs. GA's 0.60 %). The hybrid optimization strategy reduced warehousing costs while improving operational efficiency by 15 %, providing a scalable technical pathway for smart supply chains. Future research will focus on real-time dynamic optimization and heterogeneous data fusion to enhance industrial applicability.

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Published
2025-06-20
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/caibda65784.2025.11183567
Primary Topic
Advanced Manufacturing and Logistics Optimization
Type
article
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article

AI-Driven Warehouse Networks: Integrating Probabilistic Forecasting with Dynamic Allocation

Lin Sun, Yifan Wu, Zile Xu, Wenhao Zhao et al.
Advanced Manufacturing and Logistics Optimization
article

AI-Driven Warehouse Networks: Integrating Probabilistic Forecasting with Dynamic Allocation

Lin Sun, Yifan Wu, Zile Xu, Wenhao Zhao, Shuyu Zhang, Yuchen Sun
article en

Abstract

The rapid expansion of e-commerce has created an urgent demand for intelligent and precise warehouse management solutions. This study proposes an innovative framework integrating machine learning with optimization algorithms to systematically address two critical challenges: shipment volume prediction and multi-warehouse SKU allocation. To handle the non-Gaussian distribution, high volatility, and complex constraints characteristic of e-commerce data, we first developed a multimodal data preprocessing pipeline incorporating 3D visualization and robust interpolation techniques. This approach significantly enhanced data quality (missing value imputation error <tex xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">$&lt;3.2 \%$</tex>, outlier processing efficiency improved by 37 %). For shipment forecasting, a comparative analysis between RF and GBDT revealed RF's superior performance in both prediction accuracy (MAE <tex xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">$\mathbf{= 2 5. 7 3}$</tex> vs. GBDT's 26.86) and stability (residual SD <tex xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">$=60$</tex> vs. 103), particularly during high-volatility scenarios like promotional events. In warehouse optimization, our multiobjective model demonstrated that GA achieved better category affinity (<tex xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">$228,073.39$</tex> vs. PSO's <tex xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">$45,383.38$</tex>) and constraint satisfaction rates, while PSO yielded higher resource utilization (storage capacity utilization 0.63 % vs. GA's 0.60 %). The hybrid optimization strategy reduced warehousing costs while improving operational efficiency by 15 %, providing a scalable technical pathway for smart supply chains. Future research will focus on real-time dynamic optimization and heterogeneous data fusion to enhance industrial applicability.

Tongji University (CN), Dongbei University of Finance and Economics (CN), University of Shanghai for Science and Technology (CN), Dalian University of Foreign Languages (CN), Southwestern University of Finance and Economics (CN), Dalian University of Technology (CN), Dalian University (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 60%
Advanced Manufacturing and Logistics Optimization
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