QUANTITATIVE EVALUATION OF CHINA’S CARBON EMISSION REDUCTION POLICIES UNDER THE “DUAL CARBON” TARGETS

At the 75th United Nations General Assembly in 2020, China unveiled its "dual carbon" objectives-to peak carbon emissions by 2030 and achieve carbon neutrality by 2060-signalling a pivotal shift towards sustainable, low-carbon development.In this context, the effectiveness of carbon emission reduction policies has become a critical determinant of China's transition pathway.The objective of this study is to employ the Policy Modeling Consistency (PMC) Index Model to quantitatively assess the design quality and implementation potential of China's carbon reduction policies.The study utilised a systematic analytical approach, encompassing the text mining and multidimensional scoring of ten exemplary policy documents.This methodical process led to the identification of salient strengths, including policy comprehensiveness, transparency, and alignment with national strategic objectives.However, the report also reveals persistent weaknesses, particularly in cross-sectoral coordination, stakeholder inclusiveness, and incentive mechanisms at the local level.The results of the PMC evaluation indicate that five policies achieve a "Good" rating, while the remaining five are "Qualified".These results reflect structural imbalances in policy frameworks across administrative tiers.The study proposes targeted recommendations, including enhancing multi-agency collaboration, broadening policy scope, reinforcing safeguard mechanisms, and establishing adaptive feedback systems to improve policy effectiveness.These insights provide valuable guidance for the refinement of China's carbon reduction strategies and the acceleration of the country's progress towards its dual carbon targets.