ROBUST INFERENCE FOR CONVEX PAIRWISE DIFFERENCE ESTIMATORS

This article develops distribution theory and bootstrap-based inference methods for a broad class of convex pairwise difference estimators. These estimators minimize a kernel-weighted convex-in-parameter function over observation pairs with similar covariates, where the similarity is governed by a localization (bandwidth) parameter. While classical results establish asymptotic normality under restrictive bandwidth conditions, we show that valid Gaussian and bootstrap-based inference remains possible under substantially weaker assumptions. First, we extend the theory of small-bandwidth asymptotics to convex pairwise difference estimation settings, deriving robust Gaussian approximations even when a smaller-than-standard bandwidth is used. Second, we employ a debiasing procedure based on generalized jackknifing to enable inference with larger bandwidths, while preserving convexity of the objective function. Third, we construct a novel bootstrap method that adjusts for bandwidth-induced variance distortions, yielding valid inference across a wide range of bandwidth choices. Our proposed inference method enjoys demonstrably greater robustness, while retaining the practical appeal of convex pairwise difference estimators.

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Publication Details

Journal
Econometric Theory
Published
2026-07-23
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1017/s026646662610053x
Primary Topic
Statistical Methods and Inference
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

ROBUST INFERENCE FOR CONVEX PAIRWISE DIFFERENCE ESTIMATORS

Michael Jansson, Matias D. Cattaneo, Kenichi Nagasawa
Econometric Theory
Statistical Methods and Inference
article

ROBUST INFERENCE FOR CONVEX PAIRWISE DIFFERENCE ESTIMATORS

Michael Jansson, Matias D. Cattaneo, Kenichi Nagasawa
article en

Abstract

This article develops distribution theory and bootstrap-based inference methods for a broad class of convex pairwise difference estimators. These estimators minimize a kernel-weighted convex-in-parameter function over observation pairs with similar covariates, where the similarity is governed by a localization (bandwidth) parameter. While classical results establish asymptotic normality under restrictive bandwidth conditions, we show that valid Gaussian and bootstrap-based inference remains possible under substantially weaker assumptions. First, we extend the theory of small-bandwidth asymptotics to convex pairwise difference estimation settings, deriving robust Gaussian approximations even when a smaller-than-standard bandwidth is used. Second, we employ a debiasing procedure based on generalized jackknifing to enable inference with larger bandwidths, while preserving convexity of the objective function. Third, we construct a novel bootstrap method that adjusts for bandwidth-induced variance distortions, yielding valid inference across a wide range of bandwidth choices. Our proposed inference method enjoys demonstrably greater robustness, while retaining the practical appeal of convex pairwise difference estimators.

Econometric Theory
Berkeley College (US), Princeton University (US), University of Warwick (GB), University of California, Berkeley (US)
National Science Foundation, British Academy, National Research Foundation, Danmarks Grundforskningsfond
Openalex Percentile: Top 98%
Statistical Methods and Inference
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