Implementation of Random Forest with Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique and Particle Swarm Optimization for Predicting Survival of Heart Failure Patients

Abstract. Heart failure is caused by a disruption in the heart’s muscle wall, which results in the heart’s inability to pump blood in sufficient quantities to meet the body’s demand for blood. The increasing prevalence and mortality rates of heart failure can be reduced through early disease detection using data mining processes. Data mining is believed to aid in discovering and interpreting specific patterns in decision-making based on processed information. Data mining has also been applied in various fields, one of which is the healthcare sector. One of the data mining techniques used to predict a decision is the classification technique. Purpose: This research aims to apply SMOTE and PSO to the Random Forest classification algorithm in predicting the survival of heart failure patients and to determine its accuracy results. Methods/Study design/approach: To predict the survival of heart failure patients, we utilize the Random Forest classification algorithm and incorporate data imbalance handling with SMOTE and feature selection techniques with PSO on the Heart Failure Clinical Records Dataset. The data mining process consists of three distinct phases. Result/Findings: The application of SMOTE and PSO on the Heart Failure Clinical Records Dataset in the Random Forest classification process resulted in an accuracy rate of 93.9%. In contrast, the Random Forest classification process without SMOTE and PSO resulted in an accuracy rate of only 88.33%. This indicates that the proposed method combination can optimize the performance of the classification algorithm, achieving a higher accuracy compared to previous research. Novelty/Originality/Value: Data imbalance and irrelevant features in the Heart Failure Clinical Records Dataset significantly impact the classification process. Therefore, this research utilizes SMOTE as a data balancing method and PSO as a feature selection technique in the Heart Failure Clinical Records Dataset before the classification process of the Random Forest algorithm.