Enhanced upper confidence limits via randomized tests in random sampling without replacement

Abstract In this paper we study one-sided hypothesis testing under random sampling without replacement, which frequently appears in the cryptographic problem setting, including the verification of measurement-based quantum computation. Suppose that $n+1$ binary random variables $X_1,\ldots, X_{n+1}$ follow a permutation invariant distribution and n binary random variables $X_1,\ldots, X_{n}$ are observed. Then, we propose randomized tests with a randomization parameter for the expectation of the $(n+1)$ th random variable $X_{n+1}$ under a given significance level $\delta>0$ . Our randomized tests significantly improve the upper confidence limit over deterministic tests. Our problem setting commonly appears in machine learning in addition to cryptographic scenarios by considering adversarial examples. Such studies are essential for expanding the applicable area of statistics. Although this paper addresses only binary random variables, a similar significant improvement by randomized tests can be expected for general non-binary random variables.

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Publication Details

Journal
Advances in Applied Probability
Published
2025-10-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1017/apr.2025.10029
Primary Topic
Statistical Methods and Inference
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Enhanced upper confidence limits via randomized tests in random sampling without replacement

Masahito Hayashi, Huangjun Zhu, Zihao Li
Advances in Applied Probability
Statistical Methods and Inference
article

Enhanced upper confidence limits via randomized tests in random sampling without replacement

Masahito Hayashi, Huangjun Zhu, Zihao Li
article en

Abstract

Abstract In this paper we study one-sided hypothesis testing under random sampling without replacement, which frequently appears in the cryptographic problem setting, including the verification of measurement-based quantum computation. Suppose that $n+1$ binary random variables $X_1,\ldots, X_{n+1}$ follow a permutation invariant distribution and n binary random variables $X_1,\ldots, X_{n}$ are observed. Then, we propose randomized tests with a randomization parameter for the expectation of the $(n+1)$ th random variable $X_{n+1}$ under a given significance level $\delta>0$ . Our randomized tests significantly improve the upper confidence limit over deterministic tests. Our problem setting commonly appears in machine learning in addition to cryptographic scenarios by considering adversarial examples. Such studies are essential for expanding the applicable area of statistics. Although this paper addresses only binary random variables, a similar significant improvement by randomized tests can be expected for general non-binary random variables.

Advances in Applied Probability
Chinese University of Hong Kong (HK), Fudan University (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 74%
Statistical Methods and Inference
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Enhanced upper confidence limits via randomized tests in random sampling without replacement — Masahito Hayashi, Huangjun Zhu, et al. · Advances in Applied Probability (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS