OMCR: An Online Multivariate Forecaster for Cloud Resource Management

A precise workload forecaster is the key to effective resource management, system scalability, and overall operational efficiency in cloud environments. However, real-world cloud systems frequently operate in dynamic and unpredictable settings, causing workloads that exhibit significant diversity and fluctuations. To address these problems, we introduce OMCR, a novel online multivariate forecaster for cloud resource management, that overcomes the limitations of existing static forecasting methods through online learning. OMCR integrates long-term memory with a rapid response mechanism to short-term changes in cloud systems, while also considering the impact of multivariate relationships on workload prediction. OMCR minimizes its reliance on historical data, thereby reducing training difficulty and maintaining lower prediction loss in the long run. OMCR also offers an adaptive approach to forecasting peak workloads in a certain time span, which helps cloud resource management. Experimental results demonstrate the superior performance of our proposed framework compared to state-of-the-art methods in MAE and MSE metrics when forecasting cloud workloads.