The Potential Health Benefits of Reduced PM2.5 Exposure Through a More Rapid Green Transition of South Korea’s Transport Sector

South Korea faces high levels of air pollution and is currently not on track to meet its transport sector 2030 and 2050 greenhouse gas emission reduction targets primarily due to infrastructural limitations. This study examines the potential health benefits of a more rapid green transition of South Korea’s transport sector from 2026 to 2050 in terms of avoided premature deaths and years of life lost due to reduced ambient PM2.5 exposure. The research conducts a scenario analysis comparing the business-as-usual trajectory of the transport sector with two alternative scenarios. In the first alternative scenario, South Korea’s transport sector achieves its 2030 NDC in 2035 and carbon neutrality in 2050 with a reliance on CCUS for emission capture. The second alternative scenario entails stronger climate action in which the transport sector meets the 2030 NDC target in 2030 and the 2050 carbon neutrality transport sector target through a complete green transition to electric vehicles and hydrogen vehicles. The first alternative scenario results in an average of 80 avoided premature deaths (775 avoided years of life lost) and 53 MTCO2e avoided emissions per year from 2026 to 2050. The second more rapid green transition scenario of South Korea’s transport sector achieves an average of 96 avoided premature deaths (925 avoided years of life lost) and 66 MTCO2e avoided emissions per year. This research supports a more rapid green transition of South Korea’s transport sector for both health and climate gains.