Overcoming Deceptive Evasions in Earnings Calls: The Role of Investor Suspicion

Evasive responses enable managers to escape difficult questions in earnings calls without lying. Although such tactics are common in corporate communication and other important settings, we still know little about how investors and other listeners can avoid being misled by them. Drawing on theories from multiple disciplines, I predict that a common type of nonanswer leads to equivocal interpretations, whereas artful dodges escape detection in earnings calls. However, when investors adopt a suspicious state of mind—characterized by suspended judgment, balanced information search, and consideration of plausible rival possibilities—they are better able to distinguish potentially deceptive evasive tactics from proper responses. My experimental results support these predictions, showing that suspicious thinking allows investors to overcome nonanswers and dodges without punishing adequate responses. I also provide evidence that nonanswers and dodges are unique evasive strategies and that simple interventions aligned with the context of earnings calls can prompt suspicion. These findings contribute to research on the informational role of earnings calls and offer new insights into how suspicion influences deception judgments and into previous research on evasive responses in earnings calls. This paper was accepted by Ranjani Krishnan, accounting. Funding: The author acknowledges financial support from the Deloitte Foundation, the Roberto C. Goizueta Foundation, the W. P. Carey School of Business, and the Sheth Fellowship Fund. Supplemental Material: The online appendix and data files are available at https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2025.01197 .

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Publication Details

Journal
Management Science
Published
2025-10-08
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2025.01197
Primary Topic
Deception detection and forensic psychology
Type
article
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article

Overcoming Deceptive Evasions in Earnings Calls: The Role of Investor Suspicion

Leonardo Portugal Barcellos
Management Science
Deception detection and forensic psychology
article

Overcoming Deceptive Evasions in Earnings Calls: The Role of Investor Suspicion

Leonardo Portugal Barcellos
article en

Abstract

Evasive responses enable managers to escape difficult questions in earnings calls without lying. Although such tactics are common in corporate communication and other important settings, we still know little about how investors and other listeners can avoid being misled by them. Drawing on theories from multiple disciplines, I predict that a common type of nonanswer leads to equivocal interpretations, whereas artful dodges escape detection in earnings calls. However, when investors adopt a suspicious state of mind—characterized by suspended judgment, balanced information search, and consideration of plausible rival possibilities—they are better able to distinguish potentially deceptive evasive tactics from proper responses. My experimental results support these predictions, showing that suspicious thinking allows investors to overcome nonanswers and dodges without punishing adequate responses. I also provide evidence that nonanswers and dodges are unique evasive strategies and that simple interventions aligned with the context of earnings calls can prompt suspicion. These findings contribute to research on the informational role of earnings calls and offer new insights into how suspicion influences deception judgments and into previous research on evasive responses in earnings calls. This paper was accepted by Ranjani Krishnan, accounting. Funding: The author acknowledges financial support from the Deloitte Foundation, the Roberto C. Goizueta Foundation, the W. P. Carey School of Business, and the Sheth Fellowship Fund. Supplemental Material: The online appendix and data files are available at https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2025.01197 .

Management Science
Arizona State University (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 68%
Deception detection and forensic psychology
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