Rapid monitoring of global land change

Direct human action, principally land use expansion, and natural dynamics, such as fire and drought, drive global land change. Here we present a global land change monitoring system, DIST-ALERT, that rapidly tracks vegetation loss anomalies with 30 m resolution using imagery from Landsat 8/9 and Sentinel-2A/B/C satellites. The alerts capture agricultural expansion, urbanization, logging, mining, fire, drought, landslides, and other dynamics, but without attribution. Identified through a probability sample, 2023 anthropogenic land use conversions totaled 28.6 ± 7.6 Mha (±standard error), half of which replaced long-lived or secondary natural vegetation. Fires resulting in land cover conversion totaled 14.9 ± 4.3 Mha (±standard error). Combined, these dynamics equal 0.3% of the global land surface, equivalent to the area of the state of California. Annual DIST-ALERT summaries of land use expansion and climate-driven land change can serve as a future long-term global environmental data record.