Unequal power outages induced by natural disasters

Natural disasters increasingly threaten energy system reliability. However, little empirical research has examined the unequal impact of such events on power outages. Here, we employ a nationwide high-frequency point-level power outage and natural disasters dataset in China, spanning from 2019 to 2021, to empirically assess the impact of natural disasters on power outages. We focus on the poverty counties, identified by the Chinese government, based on income, infrastructure, geographical location, and other criteria. We find that these impacts of natural disasters on power outage are not distributed evenly between poverty counties (5.19% and 8.96% increase in frequency and duration, respectively) and non-poverty counties (3.80% and 5.34%). Long-term projections under SSP-RCP scenarios suggest that climate change exacerbates the disparity. This paper highlights the need for planners to evaluate disaster-induced outages in vulnerable regions to target climate funds to areas with the utmost necessity.

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Publication Details

Journal
Nature Communications
Published
2025-10-08
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-64012-x
Citations
3
Primary Topic
Infrastructure Resilience and Vulnerability Analysis
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
2.86

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article

Unequal power outages induced by natural disasters

Xingchi Shen, Destenie Nock, Yueming Qiu, Yi ‘David’ Wang et al.
3 citations
Nature Communications
Infrastructure Resilience and Vulnerability Analysis
2.86
article

Unequal power outages induced by natural disasters

Xingchi Shen, Destenie Nock, Yueming Qiu, Yi ‘David’ Wang, Han Shi, Bo Wang, Zhaohua Wang, Nana Deng
article en
3 citations

Abstract

Natural disasters increasingly threaten energy system reliability. However, little empirical research has examined the unequal impact of such events on power outages. Here, we employ a nationwide high-frequency point-level power outage and natural disasters dataset in China, spanning from 2019 to 2021, to empirically assess the impact of natural disasters on power outages. We focus on the poverty counties, identified by the Chinese government, based on income, infrastructure, geographical location, and other criteria. We find that these impacts of natural disasters on power outage are not distributed evenly between poverty counties (5.19% and 8.96% increase in frequency and duration, respectively) and non-poverty counties (3.80% and 5.34%). Long-term projections under SSP-RCP scenarios suggest that climate change exacerbates the disparity. This paper highlights the need for planners to evaluate disaster-induced outages in vulnerable regions to target climate funds to areas with the utmost necessity.

Nature CommunicationsVol. 16(1)
Beijing Institute of Technology (CN), Shanghai Jiao Tong University (CN), Park University (US), Beijing Research Institute of Mechanical and Electrical Technology (CN), University of Maryland, College Park (US), Carnegie Mellon University (US), Virginia Tech (US), Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, China Postdoctoral Science Foundation
Openalex Percentile: Top 9%
Infrastructure Resilience and Vulnerability Analysis
2.86
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Unequal power outages induced by natural disasters — Xingchi Shen, Destenie Nock, et al. · Nature Communications (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS