Developing a Model to Analyze and Assess Risks in Off-Shore Projects

Particular technical, financial, and environmental risks are present in offshore projects, which frequently result in significant delays and cost overruns. Despite the abundance of commercial risk management solutions, most of them are either general or qualitative, or they are not flexible enough to be used in offshore environments. This study fills this gap by creating a quantitative Offshore Risk Management Model (ORMM) that combines risk source classification, user-friendly data entry, and Expected Monetary Value (EMV) analysis. A structured questionnaire survey of experts in offshore projects was part of the research approach, along with case studies in the Arabian Gulf, North Sea and Red Seas and statistical validation of the survey instrument (Cronbach's Alpha = 0.85). The results show that ORMM enhances risk quantification accuracy, facilitates proactive mitigation techniques, and promotes contingency estimation. The findings bridge the gap between dynamic, computationally verified instruments for offshore risk and static qualitative frameworks, advancing both theory and practice.

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Publication Details

Journal
Engineering Research Journal
Published
2025-09-29
DOI
https://doi.org/10.21608/erjsh.2025.406579.1438
Primary Topic
Risk and Safety Analysis
Type
article
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article

Developing a Model to Analyze and Assess Risks in Off-Shore Projects

Mohamed El Shehaby, Karim El-Dash, Mohamed Abdel-Hamid
Engineering Research Journal
Risk and Safety Analysis
article

Developing a Model to Analyze and Assess Risks in Off-Shore Projects

Mohamed El Shehaby, Karim El-Dash, Mohamed Abdel-Hamid
article en

Abstract

Particular technical, financial, and environmental risks are present in offshore projects, which frequently result in significant delays and cost overruns. Despite the abundance of commercial risk management solutions, most of them are either general or qualitative, or they are not flexible enough to be used in offshore environments. This study fills this gap by creating a quantitative Offshore Risk Management Model (ORMM) that combines risk source classification, user-friendly data entry, and Expected Monetary Value (EMV) analysis. A structured questionnaire survey of experts in offshore projects was part of the research approach, along with case studies in the Arabian Gulf, North Sea and Red Seas and statistical validation of the survey instrument (Cronbach's Alpha = 0.85). The results show that ORMM enhances risk quantification accuracy, facilitates proactive mitigation techniques, and promotes contingency estimation. The findings bridge the gap between dynamic, computationally verified instruments for offshore risk and static qualitative frameworks, advancing both theory and practice.

Engineering Research JournalVol. 0(0)
Benha University (EG)
Openalex Percentile: Top 73%
Risk and Safety Analysis
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Developing a Model to Analyze and Assess Risks in Off-Shore Projects — Mohamed El Shehaby, Karim El-Dash, et al. · Engineering Research Journal (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS