CryptexLLM: How LLM Generalizability Forecasts High Volatility

We present CryptexLLM, an approach to time series forecasting that adapts large language models (LLMs) for predicting high volatility data. We extend the TimeLLM framework with an adaptive weighted loss function, feature engineering, and sentiment analysis. Our experiments show that the approach we took outperforms traditional LSTM models and statistical methods, with our best performing model being Llama 3.1. The adaptations we made improve directional accuracy, which is particularly useful for financial applications, while still maintaining computational efficiency. Our results suggest that LLMs have the potential to effectively generalize to volatile time series domains.

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Publication Details

Published
2025-09-15
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/escience65000.2025.00071
Primary Topic
Advanced Data Storage Technologies
Type
article
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article

CryptexLLM: How LLM Generalizability Forecasts High Volatility

Ioan Raicu, Lingfeng Rao, Mary Tsaryk, Anwar Benhnini
Advanced Data Storage Technologies
article

CryptexLLM: How LLM Generalizability Forecasts High Volatility

Ioan Raicu, Lingfeng Rao, Mary Tsaryk, Anwar Benhnini
article en

Abstract

We present CryptexLLM, an approach to time series forecasting that adapts large language models (LLMs) for predicting high volatility data. We extend the TimeLLM framework with an adaptive weighted loss function, feature engineering, and sentiment analysis. Our experiments show that the approach we took outperforms traditional LSTM models and statistical methods, with our best performing model being Llama 3.1. The adaptations we made improve directional accuracy, which is particularly useful for financial applications, while still maintaining computational efficiency. Our results suggest that LLMs have the potential to effectively generalize to volatile time series domains.

Fordham University (US), Illinois Institute of Technology (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 67%
Advanced Data Storage Technologies
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