The Impact of Traditional Monetary Policy and theModerating Role of Macroprudential Policy onPakistan’s Financial Stability

This study empirically investigates the impact of traditional monetary policy and the moderating role of macroprudential policy on Pakistan’s financial stability. Panel data (2008–2023) of top 20 banks were examined with Hausman test, fixed, and random-effects models. The study assesses financial stability through bank performance (ROA, ROE,NIM) and risk indicators (z-score, LLP). The independent variables include discount rate and inter-bank offer rate. The findings indicate that tight monetary policy improves banks performance as it enhances ROE, however it has no impact on banks ROA and NIM. In addition, monetary policy doesn’t have any impact on bank default risk i-e z-score, however, tight monetary policy reduce LLP hence enhances bank asset quality. Moderation analysis finds that macroprudential policy reduces NIM hence depress banks performance, although it has no moderating effect on bank risk. The monetary policy exerts a positive influence on banks’ profitability and asset quality, whereas macroprudential policy tends to suppress bank performance. Hence, monetary policy instruments are more effective than macroprudential policy for financial stability.

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Publication Details

Journal
Pakistan Business Review
Published
2025-09-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.22555/pbr.v27i2.1386
Primary Topic
Global Financial Crisis and Policies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

The Impact of Traditional Monetary Policy and theModerating Role of Macroprudential Policy onPakistan’s Financial Stability

Sayed Irshad Hussain, Muhammad Abbas
Pakistan Business Review
Global Financial Crisis and Policies
article

The Impact of Traditional Monetary Policy and theModerating Role of Macroprudential Policy onPakistan’s Financial Stability

Sayed Irshad Hussain, Muhammad Abbas
article en

Abstract

This study empirically investigates the impact of traditional monetary policy and the moderating role of macroprudential policy on Pakistan’s financial stability. Panel data (2008–2023) of top 20 banks were examined with Hausman test, fixed, and random-effects models. The study assesses financial stability through bank performance (ROA, ROE,NIM) and risk indicators (z-score, LLP). The independent variables include discount rate and inter-bank offer rate. The findings indicate that tight monetary policy improves banks performance as it enhances ROE, however it has no impact on banks ROA and NIM. In addition, monetary policy doesn’t have any impact on bank default risk i-e z-score, however, tight monetary policy reduce LLP hence enhances bank asset quality. Moderation analysis finds that macroprudential policy reduces NIM hence depress banks performance, although it has no moderating effect on bank risk. The monetary policy exerts a positive influence on banks’ profitability and asset quality, whereas macroprudential policy tends to suppress bank performance. Hence, monetary policy instruments are more effective than macroprudential policy for financial stability.

Pakistan Business ReviewVol. 27(2)
Shaheed Zulfiqar Ali Bhutto Institute of Science and Technology (PK)
Openalex Percentile: Top 64%
Global Financial Crisis and Policies
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