Are all truths maximally risky?

Abstract According to the modal account, risk is a function of modal closeness. A puzzling consequence of this account is that all truths are maximally risky. I defend this puzzling claim against several objections found in the literature, by drawing connections between axiom T for safety and risk and between counterfactual reasoning and risk. I conclude by briefly explaining why we find the conclusion puzzling and by advocating for a pluralist notion of risk where modal risk is a legitimate notion alongside the probabilistic one.

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Publication Details

Journal
Analysis
Published
2025-10-04
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1093/analys/anaf077
Primary Topic
Risk Perception and Management
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Are all truths maximally risky?

Marco Grossi
Analysis
Risk Perception and Management
article

Are all truths maximally risky?

Marco Grossi
article en

Abstract

Abstract According to the modal account, risk is a function of modal closeness. A puzzling consequence of this account is that all truths are maximally risky. I defend this puzzling claim against several objections found in the literature, by drawing connections between axiom T for safety and risk and between counterfactual reasoning and risk. I conclude by briefly explaining why we find the conclusion puzzling and by advocating for a pluralist notion of risk where modal risk is a legitimate notion alongside the probabilistic one.

Analysis
New College (GB)
Openalex Percentile: Top 64%
Risk Perception and Management
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Are all truths maximally risky? — Marco Grossi · Analysis (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS