Are all truths maximally risky?
Abstract According to the modal account, risk is a function of modal closeness. A puzzling consequence of this account is that all truths are maximally risky. I defend this puzzling claim against several objections found in the literature, by drawing connections between axiom T for safety and risk and between counterfactual reasoning and risk. I conclude by briefly explaining why we find the conclusion puzzling and by advocating for a pluralist notion of risk where modal risk is a legitimate notion alongside the probabilistic one.
Authors
- Marco Grossi (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8680-2412)
Institutions
- New College (GB)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Analysis
- Published
- 2025-10-04
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1093/analys/anaf077
- Primary Topic
- Risk Perception and Management
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00